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Posts published in October 2025

Richard Stallings

A political fact about Richard Stallings, the former U.S. representative from Idaho who died on October 26:

In 1988, he came in third place for the Democratic Party nomination for president.

From that, you might deduce Stallings had presidential ambitions and had been campaigning around the country for the office. He did not. He received his three votes at the national Democratic convention that year in large part because he was a pro-life on abortion (a view he generally has retained over the years) but also because he struck a number of people as genuine and straightforward, as well as smart and capable. Those votes for him apparently came as much a surprise to him as to anyone else.

The underlying sense of the kind of person he was had emerged only gradually over time. He lost a 1982 run for the House against the seemingly teflon-coated though controversial Republican incumbent George Hansen, by a fairly close margin. He might not have won his rematch in the heavily Republican year of 1984 except for Hansen’s criminal convictions in the early part of the year, and then Stallings only barely prevailed by 133 votes.

So much might have been written off as a matter of good timing or luck. But in a very Republican, very conservative southern Idaho district, Stallings proceeded to win convincingly (54% of the vote) in 1986 and in landslides in the next two elections. He probably would have won another term in 1992 had he not tried for the Senate instead. Whether he would have survived the 1994 Republican sweep remains a big unknown.

He would not have been able to generate that kind of support - the kind Cecil Andrus and Frank Church did for so many years - without strong service to the district and a trusting relationship with the people there.

There’s another point to be made from the Democratic convention asterisk: When his time in Congress ended, he did not move in the direction of national politics and activism and fundraising, but went local instead.

After working in Idaho for a short time as a federal nuclear waste negotiator (a job held only by him and another Idahoan, David Leroy), he settled in Pocatello. But Stallings did more than just live there. For years he led the nonprofit Pocatello Neighborhood Housing Service, to help create and find housing for people in need in that area. (This is a problem which was serious then and has only become more broadly pertinent.) And he served for six years on the Pocatello City Council.

He stayed active in Idaho politics, running again (unsuccessfully) for the House, and serving as state Democratic Party chair.

If the old saying in politics is that “they never go back to Pocatello,” then Stallings would be one of the best examples of an exception to the rule. The work he did there after serving in Congress is the kind of track record many candidates might have used as a launching pad in a race to get there.

I met him for lunch at Pocatello this year in May, when he was fresh off another project: He and fellow former Representative Larry La Rocco had held a series of town hall meetings around Idaho, and he was enthusiastic about them and the prospect of doing more. Stallings kept in close personal touch with a lot of people in his district, and he was concerned about the loss of contact between Idahoans and their representatives.

Stallings was serious about the problems of Idaho and the nation, without becoming an ideologue about them - a trait more politicians could use these days.

He was a politician in the best sense. The word has been trashed a lot in recent generations, helped along by too many people in politics whose words and actions besmirch it: ambitious graspers, unconcerned about the practical effects of what they do.

Stallings is one of the best human rebuttals to that criticism I’ve known, a politician who worked on behalf of the community and nation. Full stop.

 

A unique skill

The night Donald Trump was elected, I said to Barb, "Before the end of his term, he'll have pissed off everyone he comes in contact with.  Every one."   Being prescient isn't one of my strong suits but several years of evidence seem to make the case.

From individuals to entire nations, he's angered them all.  He seems to have a real knack for it.  But, there's significant evidence of a growing "push back" of sorts taking place.

Here's one.  General James Mattis.  Former Defense Secretary, lifelong Republican and someone whose 40 years of military service have been honored by just about everyone.  Except you-know-who.

Those who've followed his career know Mattis is Marine down to his camo shorts.  A professional who knows intimately  - and who lives by - the chain-of-command.  An order is given and his answer is always "Yes, Sir."  Even when Trump criticized and belittled him both during and after his Secretary of Defense posting, Mattis kept his military bearing.

But.  Mattis has written a book about his career and includes some hints of how he feels about Trump.  Not out-and-out blatant criticism but you get the idea when he writes "I found him to be of limited cognitive ability."  And several other verbal jabs.

Yet, while Mattis is holding his tongue - for now - it's likely we'll be getting a fuller picture soon.  "There is a period in which I owe my silence," Mattis said, referring to his post-Trump days.  "It's not eternal," he added, "And it's not going on forever."  Boda Bing!  Boda Boom!  My guess is about December, 2025.

Another case.  Trump criticized Faux Nuews.  Told his followers, "They're not working for us" and suggesting that a new and "more supportive" media network was needed.

Now, many of us figured Faux would knuckle under and "come to heel."  But, no.  Fact is, several of the major Faux players got up on their hind legs and told Trump they weren't "working for him." They got downright indignant and claimed media "impartiality" and told him they'd report the facts as they happened to be.

Putting Faux Nuews and the word "facts" in the same sentence has been - and likely will continue to be - an oxymoron.  But, at least they took a stab at journalistic professionalism for once and bit back.

Still more evidence.  The exodus of Republican members of Congress.

Lot's of 'em.  Many angry at Trump and tired of defending him.  The reasons vary but the flight is real.  Going into the 2026 election, Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take the majority in the Senate.  That is, keep all they have and add four.  Seemed out of reach.  Now, not so much.  Arizona, Colorado, Maine, Georgia, for example, seem winnable.  How 'bout that?

And more.  As Trump has fired former "best people," many have not just shuffled off to deserved anonymity.  Several have written fiery  books and others have taken to more respectable media to tell "the inside story" of White House chaos.  Some are even making big bucks on the "chicken dinner" circuit telling their tales to other Republicans.  Yes, Virginia, Republicans!

And this.  One night recently, little Donny Junior went to Kentucky for a well-publicized speech to the GOP faithful on behalf of the one-term, right wing governor.  Kentucky Republicans in Mitch McConnell's home state spent heavily to promote Donny.  Even rented a 7-thousand seat auditorium.  And when Donny went to the mike, he looked out on a throng of 200.  Yep, 200!  In Kentucky?

And more.  National farmer's organizations are coming unglued over the beating they're taking from Trump.  The same guy they backed so heavily in 2016 and 2020.  The tariffs - real or promised - are killing 'em.  Along with a couple of years of bad weather.  You can see the bib overalls on TV, night after night, swearing both at-and-off Trump.  Lots of rural vows of "Never again!"  Who'd a thunk?

And those examples are all domestic.  We haven't talked about other entire countries.  Some who don't even want him to visit.  The President of the United States persona-non-grata.  Media - and many politicians overseas - are skewering anything Trump related.  And, in those few countries still trying to keep up appearances, heads of state are plotting ways of dealing with Trump.  Or going around him.

Trump's continual back-stabbing of once loyal staff, supporters and entire countries continues unabated.  But, we're seeing more people openly turning on him and biting back.  Or staying away.  We're seeing once valued fellow-travelers taking open stands of opposition.

Still, there's that one last bastion standing with him.  Republicans in Congress who've every reason to dump him but lack the guts to do it.  He's still got the most dangerous politician in America - Mitch McConnell - riding shotgun.  At least for now.

But, as said at the outset, Trump has this one unique quality of turning friends into enemies.  So, a guy can always hope!

 

The so-called drug war

Donald Trump has made a dramatic show of making America's military blow up purported drug boats off the coast of Venezuela, hundreds of miles from American soil. So far, Trump has amassed a body count of 32, who he claims, without evidence, are “narco-terrorists.” He has failed to reveal the identity of the boat crews, what their destination was or why the Coast Guard couldn’t simply have performed its regular task of interdicting and searching the boats to confirm they were carrying illicit drugs.

Trump has publicly claimed the boats were carrying fentanyl, when almost all of that drug is widely known to be transported across the U.S. border with Mexico. Over 90% of fentanyl seizures in the last 5 years have come from Mexico.

Obliterating the boats is a stupid tactic because it destroys the evidence and does not allow for interrogation of the suspects. Dead suspects cannot disclose valuable intelligence to use in going after the drug kingpins. The tactic violates U.S. law because Trump has not gotten Congressional approval to use lethal force against the suspects, having failed to show they pose an imminent threat to the U.S.

The boat attacks also violate rules of international law that top U.S. military lawyers have urged the services to observe. With its scofflaw attitude, the Trump regime has tarnished the reputation of the United States as a beacon for the rule of law. We became the most powerful nation on Earth because of our dedication to lawful conduct. When we repeatedly demonstrate that the U.S. will not follow U.S. and international law, our reputation, trading relations and economy will suffer.

Soon after taking office as Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth fired the top Judge Advocate Generals (JAGs) of the military services. He called them “roadblocks to orders that are given by a commander in chief.”  He likely understood that Trump had no intention of complying with established laws governing the use of the nation’s military.

He was obviously correct, but unaware of our first commander in chief’s view of the role of a JAG officer. George Washington appointed the first JAG shortly after taking command of the Continental Army. He wrote that “an Army without Order, Regularity & Discipline, is no better than a Commission’d Mob.”

Trump’s killing of purported drug traffickers would not pass muster with a reputable JAG officer. However, Trump has plenty of loyal sycophants who will risk their legal reputations to justify his unlawful actions. Our own Senator Jim Risch is just such a Trump puppet. Risch took to the Senate floor to prostrate himself at Trump’s feet, claiming that the boats were conducting “an actual attack” on the U.S., even though they were about 1,000 miles from Miami. Without offering a hint of proof, he branded them as “terrorists.”

Neither Trump nor Risch realizes that they are placing military officers charged with carrying out the killings in an untenable position. Strikes like these should be reviewed and approved by a competent and independent JAG officer. If these strikes are unlawful, as they certainly appear to be, service personnel pulling the trigger could later face court martial charges for obeying an unlawful order. Of great interest in this regard is the surprising and sudden decision of Admiral Alvin Holsey, the commander in charge of the boat destructions, to announce his retirement after less than a year as the commander of U.S. Southern Command. More retirements may be in the offing. Another top officer, Colonel Doug Krugman, resigned this month because of Trump’s obvious contempt for the Constitution.

Neither Risch nor Trump served in the military–Trump because of phantom bone spurs and Risch because of “an ulcer”--so they are likely unaware that soldiers are legally and honorably prohibited from giving or following an unlawful order. As an artillery spotter in Vietnam, I was fully aware of the real possibility of a court martial for killing non-threatening civilians, even in an actual wartime setting. Common human decency says you don’t gleefully announce the killing of suspects who could easily be arrested.

In the final analysis, Trump’s repeated killings in the Caribbean are more performance art than military necessity. If he was really interested in pursuing drug kingpins, he would not have diverted hundreds of prosecutors and drug enforcement agents from going after the drug networks. Trump has them wasting their talents on immigration cases. An exhaustive report from Reuters found that drug prosecutions have fallen to the “lowest level in decades” under Trump. Furthermore, Trump has been uncommonly generous in handing out pardons and clemency to drug kingpins. Perhaps it's time for him to stop breaking the law and start enforcing it.

 

The importance of small-town protests

After last weekend’s massive No Kings protests, some small-community people have sent messages to this effect: Our community didn’t have a No Kings event last time, but should it for round three?

For many of those people and communities, the best strategic answer is yes.

Nationally, the October No Kings event outran the June edition, with an estimated 7 million or more attendees overall. Oregon attendance has been pegged at 100,000 minimum, but the actual total number may have approached twice that. October outpaced June by an increase of one-third to one-half.

Most of the attention went, as it usually does, to the big urban events. Portland’s turnout, which was of course the largest in the state and estimated at around 40,000 (local law enforcement) to 50,000 (a number of news reports), was indeed spectacular. The Eugene event attracted about 3,500 to 4,000, and about 1,000 at the statehouse in Salem. Other larger Oregon cities, like Hillsboro, Gresham, Bend and Medford, had substantial events as well.

Not to discount any of that, but a big crowd protesting Trump in Portland or Eugene, impressive as it was, doesn’t count as an earth-shattering surprise. What may be of greater interest is this: While Trump won 25 of Oregon’s 36 counties, No Kings events, sometimes drawing large numbers of people relative to the population, were held last weekend in most of them.

In Yamhill County, which voted for Trump in each of his presidential contests, the No Kings event I attended in McMinnville featured a long march and an enthusiastic crowd and pulled an estimated 1,000 people. Another event in smaller Newberg drew about half as many.

Trump won Douglas County with more than 67% of the vote in 2024, yet organizers estimated more than 2,500 people protested at Stewart Parkway in Roseburg.

About 2,000 were estimated at Grants Pass in Josephine County, where Trump won nearly 63% of the vote in 2024.

Still, these are counties with large populations mostly not too far from more liberal urban areas. What about locations further away?

Hundreds protested in Pendleton and Tillamook — Trump won Umatilla County with 67.2% in 2024 and Tillamook County with 49%.

In all, Oregon hosted more than 60 No Kings events. Protests were reported in such small or mid-sized communities as Lakeview, Heppner, Scappoose, Prineville, Silverton, Enterprise, Harrisburg, Baker City, Coos Bay, La Grande, Oakridge, Woodburn, Gold Beach, Bandon, Cloverdale, and even small and remote Burns (in Harney County, which went 77.7% for Trump in 2024). Every one of those was located in a county which supported, often strongly, Trump at the polls.

If planned events all materialized (as all or nearly all seem to have done), Sherman, Gilliam, Grant and Malheur may have been the only Oregon counties not to hold a protest last weekend.

Very high vote percentages often are driven by communities where a prevailing view is that everyone, or almost everyone, locally votes in that direction. If that impression is punctured by a significant number of people who show up at a protest, some significant amount of the air may be let out of the balloon. Those very high percentages may decline.

With that in mind, some people in smaller communities have quietly begun to message other people about holding such an event there next time. If that happens, the number of Oregon communities with such events could expand by a couple of dozen or more. They could also alter (not necessarily flip, but moderate) the character of a number of communities.

That, of course, depends on whether another No Kings national event happens. None seems to be planned at present, but a third edition does seem likely, since both of the first two were widely considered successes, and the second seemed to expand considerably in size over the first.

And if some of the people who attended protests in Bend or Grants Pass event came from nearby communities, they might decide next time to build a local activity of their own — establishing a protest community in a location  that previously hadn’t seen (or perceived) one. In a small community, that more localized activism could affect the social atmosphere.

Hold a few more No Kings rallies, and the impact on Oregon could be real. A street protest can feel ephemeral, but the ripple effects could be large.

This column originally appeared in the Oregon Capital Chronicle.

 

Police and community

In my small town the police slogan, posted on the sides of their vehicles, is “Police and Community together.”

They do a good job of living up to it, interacting well and working with people in the community, focusing on problem solving where they can, de-escalating rather than escalating. It’s not that there isn’t crime to fight or arrests to make - there are; or cooperation with state and federal agencies - they do that too. But they’ve been able over the years to maintain a critical level of trust within the community.

What they understand is that no police force, however large or well-equipped, however well-trained, can get done the job of keeping the peace in a community without the active help and cooperation of the people who live there. If police are seen as an alien, invasive force, community cooperation will collapse.

With that in mind, what happened in Wilder last weekend should serve as a huge wakeup call for many law officers and agencies but most specifically and immediately those in Southwest Idaho.

Wilder, a city of about 1,600 in western Canyon County, is heavily Hispanic. One of the major civic weekend gathering points, for families with children as well as adults, is at a small local horse racetrack called  La Cathedral Arena. On Sunday somewhere between 500 and 1,000 people (Governor Brad Little has estimated 400) were there peacefully socializing while horses ran.

That was disrupted when  an army of about 200 federal, state and local law enforcement officials descended on them, with forces from (according to the FBI) the “Canyon County Sheriff’s Office; Homeland Security Investigations; the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives; U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO); the Drug Enforcement Administration; Idaho State Police; Idaho Department of Corrections; Nampa Police Department; Caldwell Police Department; and FBI Seattle and Portland field offices.” That’s quite an array.

Hundreds of people were detained. Parents were separated from children, and some children were separated from their parents and according to numerous news reports zip-tied. The FBI initially denied reports that children were zip-tied or hit with rubber bullets, then retreated from that to limit the denial to “young children”; you can draw your own obvious conclusion. ICE grabbed 105 people present (some reports later put that at 50) presumably on immigration charges, though how many charges may actually stick (probably far fewer) will become clear only with time.

All of this was said to have been prompted by an FBI-led gambling inquiry; local law enforcement sharply denied that ICE led the operation, as it seems to have claimed.

And all of this - all these lives and activities disrupted and children terrorized - was in the service of what vital public safety and law enforcement goal? The ICE roundup aside, it amounted to this: Arrests of four men for gambling on horses.

An FBI agent noted, "Illegal gambling isn't a victimless crime," and I won’t argue that point. But this isn’t a question simply of going after a few small-bore gamblers, which could have been done with a few officers and scant uproar. The use of such nuclear weaponry to swat a fly, 200 law officers from a dozen or so federal, state and local agencies directed to a small, quiet town, has to be about something else.

This seems to be about terrorizing a community. (Could that be why ICE was so quick to try to claim a primary role?)

And when law enforcement does something like that, the message from it to the community, intended or not, is: We are on the other side, and we see you - all of you, whether law breakers or law abiders - as the enemy.

The opposite, in other words, of “police and community together.”

Actual enforcement of the laws will suffer, badly, if people start to absorb a lesson that law enforcement cannot be trusted. Let’s hope it doesn’t come to that, but in Wilder, it may be too late.

 

Shots will be fired

There is substantial reason to believe this nation will face more armed attacks on our institutions and - in some cases - attacks on individuals prominent in public life.

The University of Chicago has a program it calls "Project on Security and Threats."  That group ran a national survey earlier this year.  One finding: the number of Americans agreeing "the use of force is justified to restore Donald Trump to the presidency" increased from 4.5 to 7-percent.

Put another way, that's an increase from 12-million to 18-million Americans adults.  Up to eighteen million people believe taking to the streets - in some cases armed - is just fine if it means Trump can be President again.

The Chicago institute found the increase "likely reflects the response of a more intense commitment to Trump following the announcement of the federal indictments against him for mishandling classified documents."  Those indictments were announced about 18-days before the June survey and it's likely that timing had a direct affect on the polling results.

And, there's this.  Voices on the far-right are being raised again as they refer to the old Biden White House as the "Biden regime."  Federal law enforcement is being called the "Gestapo" on talk radio.  The Department of Justice has been called Biden's "personal police force."  Institutions like DOJ are labeled the "Department of Injustice."  Indictments against Trump are referred to as "political war crimes" and/or an "assassination."

There is public talk on "hate radio" of imprisoning Democrat politicians - even their families!  One of the loudest voices in that discourse was that of right-winger Charlie Kirk who talked of the outright assassination of President Biden.  Looks like somebody got to Kirk first.

It's the MAGA media wherein the audience has been programmed, by years of conditioning, to talk of such things.  To think such things.  What's out there today makes the late Rush Limbaugh and his imitators sound more like "pussycats."

If you haven't listed to "hate radio" in awhile, I recommend you spend about 15-minutes listening to the verbal diatribe.  I seriously doubt any thinking person can stay tuned longer than that.

Lest you think there are overstatements herein when talking of "armed" action in our streets, I commend the name Ammon Bundy for your deliberation.  Remember, he's already had armed experiences against the feds in Idaho, Oregon and Nevada.

Currently an Idaho resident, Bundy lost a court battle for blocking entrances to St. Luke's Regional Medical Center in Boise and was fined 50-million dollars for his activities.  He didn't show up in court to defend himself and St. Luke's will never see a single dollar of that fine.  That's because he doesn't recognize any form of government above that of county sheriff.  We'll see.

Bundy, and other criminals of the far-right, are armed to the teeth.  It's just a matter of time before someone - or something - sets one of them off and there will be violence.  Shots fired.  Somebody killed.

Remember those 18-million Americans who believe "violence is justified" if it means Trump can inhabit the White House again.  Whatever it takes.

This armed resistance to authority has been festering for a long, long time.  Fires, stoked by "hate" radio and other sources, have kept anger and fear at near-boiling temperature for more than 40-years.  Now, the accursed Internet is linking up more of these haters using (un)social media.  And, the fires are burning even brighter.

Where the first significant outbreak will occur, who it will involve and how many will die are still unanswered questions.  But, there are many indications conditions will get worse and shots will be fired.

It's "duck and cover" time.

 

No Kings protesters are American patriots

America was born in protest. In fact, we might never have separated from Great Britain, were it not for a list of grievances written into our Declaration of Independence 249 years ago. The 13 British colonies had had enough of the arbitrary actions of King George III and peaceably advised him so in that treasured document.

Several years later, with those grievances in mind and in hopes of preventing a recurrence of lawless actions by America’s new government, our ancestors wrote up a Constitution and Bill of Rights. Our First Amendment, guaranteed “the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.” The First Amendment stands out as a principal protection against arbitrary king-like rule.

Ever since he took office in January, we have witnessed a growing contempt for the constitutional order, including free-speech rights, by Donald Trump and his MAGA crowd. If wide swaths of Americans object to his arbitrary, unconstitutional orders and actions, he and his minions don’t write it off as Americans exercising their constitutional rights. He sees it as a threat to his royal eminence. Those who protest are labeled as “domestic terrorists, agitators, anarchists” and even worse.

Many who fear the path Trump is taking toward despotic rule have gathered in communities across the country to hold “No Kings” rallies. The purpose is to speak out against despotic words and unconstitutional action by the Trump regime. I spoke at a rally held on April 5 in Twin Falls by the local chapter of Indivisible. It was a well-attended patriotic rally of good, decent folks spanning the political spectrum.

The No Kings rallies across America on June 14 protested Trump’s lavish military parade in Washington that was timed to celebrate his kingly birth. The protest also called him out for his repeated and deliberate transgressions of the US Constitution. The Indivisible patriots had to step forward because the cowardly GOP members of Congress don’t have the courage to stand up for the Constitution. Idaho’s House and Senate members–Senators Risch and Crapo and Representatives Simpson and Fulcher–know Trump is trampling over the Constitution, but they don’t have the courage to protest, being much more interested in maintaining their political offices. Thank Heaven for the First Amendment.

Another Indivisible rally is scheduled for 2,200 communities throughout America on October 18, including Boise, Idaho Falls, Hailey, Moscow, Pocatello, and Twin Falls. I’ll be speaking at the one in Twin Falls.  Many concerned, civic-minded folks will attend.

Trump’s obedient sycophants, like House Speaker Mike Johnson, have condemned those who are concerned by Trump’s march to despotism. Johnson called the upcoming rally a “hate America rally” of the ”antifa, pro-Hamas crowd and the Marxists.”

That’s quite a mix and match of ideologies and dead wrong on all counts.

It is interesting how Antifa, an ideology that opposes fascism, always manages to get woven into the MAGA worldview as the root of all evil. It is not an organization and does not hold meetings or carry out sinister actions. Even if it were an actual group, the idea of opposing fascism is not really obnoxious, unless you happen to be a fascist. Mussolini would have tried to stamp them out.

Nevertheless, Donald Trump has had it in for Antifa for many years. During his first term, Trump said he would be “designating ANTIFA as a Terrorist Organization" for allegedly inciting violence during Black Lives Matter protests. A June 2020 protest in Spokane sparked a panic in Coeur d’Alene when false rumors spread about an Antifa invasion of North Idaho. Armed citizens lined the streets to fight off the ideology. Not a single Antifan materialized.  As far as anyone knows, Trump has not yet been able to produce a picture of an Antifan or Antifa gathering, making them as elusive as the Northern Sasquatch.

But, even if Antifa were not more than just a way of thinking, why shouldn’t those who hate fascism have the right to think and speak their beliefs under the First Amendment? Trump seems to think they should be rounded up and punished. What could be a more clearcut violation of free speech rights?

The idea that America should not return to rule by a king, be it Trump or some other wannabe monarch, will be revisited on the 250th commemoration of the Declaration of Independence on July 4, 2025. I pray that he will not have managed, with his 10,000 more ICE agents funded by the Big Beautiful Billionaires Bill, to impose his vision of a kingship on our beloved democratic republic. With the good work of Indivisible and other American patriotic organizations, we might well survive as a free nation.

 

Insurance by geography

It’s that season again. No, I’m not talking about back-to-school season, holiday season or fall leaves.

We’re now into health insurance choice season, which affects a lot of Americans, but referring here specifically to the Medicare side. It’s the time of year when people can change their coverage.

What’s most important in that area this year is, do you have a choice?

In Oregon — as in many other states — the quality of your health insurance coverage may change from this year to next. As significantly, it may vary depending on where you live. If you live in an urban area, you probably do have some choices. If not, your options are likely fewer.

Rural Oregonians may have a case, in the coming year, for pressing for parity with urban Oregonians in their health care options, and state government might be able to help with that.

While the core idea of Medicare — health insurance coverage for everyone over 65 — is simple, the details become complicated just below the surface.

Medicare insurance is split into four parts — or five or more, depending on how you count. Parts A and B are core or “original” Medicare, which everyone in the program gets. There’s an optional Part D which covers prescription drugs. None of this is seeing much change.

Part C, which is usually called Medicare Advantage, is different: It is optional, but not everyone has the same purchase opportunities. Most Medicare customers do take Advantage, because original Medicare has major gaps and limitations which the Advantage plans can help fill. Those plans sometimes cost nothing, or very little, to the customers, although prices can be higher in some cases.

These plans are offered not by the federal government but by private insurers, and while they have to conform to Medicare standards in their offerings, they aren’t required to offer their plans everywhere. The rules around them can vary by state, and also by county.

These rules also can change from year to year, and some of them are evolving  in a big way next year.

For example, the Advantage insurance plans offered by Moda Health and Summit Health in Oregon will be dropped at the end of 2025. Also, several specific plans which have been provided by Aetna, PacificSource and Regence BlueCross BlueShield of Oregon will not be continued in 2026. Some other providers, like UnitedHealth, are changing the specific benefits (meaning in effect benefit reductions) on a number of their plans, though the plans generally are staying in place.

About 12,000 Oregonians on Medicare, according to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, are this season having to scramble to secure the coverage they need.

Geography complicates the situation further.

Because private providers can decide where they want to offer their plans, areas with fewer local medical options may be left out of the picture. As of next year, five Oregon counties — Curry, Harney, Lake, Umatilla and Union — all some distance from larger metro areas, will not have Advantage plans available at all.

That’s only part of the geographical complexity, because while other Oregon counties offer some Advantage plans, the number of choices varies a lot.

The website Q1Medicare.com reports that Multnomah County and Washington County residents have their choice of 59 plans, and in Tillamook, Lincoln, Morrow and Baker residents get their pick of just five. Most other counties are in between, with larger counties getting more options and smaller, and more remote, counties fewer.

Medigap, also an optional program and used by many people (and preferred by some) has standardized benefits. It also is offered by private providers but is only available to some people — primarily, people who have been kicked off Medicare Advantage plans. Many people may not find it a useful substitute.

But for people in rural counties, especially considering their disproportionately older population, the Advantage gap represents a real problem. It’s a problem too for anyone trying to promote economic or population development there.

Regulators, including the state, could help with this. Medicare Advantage providers are required to adhere to strict Medicaid standards, and those could be expanded to help provide more options to people in smaller counties.

By the way, this is also an important season in the field of Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act marketplace.

And that’s a whole other level of complexity…

This column first appeared in the Oregon Capital Chronicle.

 

Take a road trip

Due west of southern Idaho sits the city of Portland, conflicting descriptions of which have been roiling national politics in recent weeks.

Portland is not terribly far from Idaho. For some Idahoans, it’s the nearest large city and a significant governmental and commercial center. So this ought to hit home, arriving as it does next door to the Gem State.

President Donald Trump has called it “war ravaged,”  said “it’s anarchy out there,” and talked about “the Radical Left’s reign of terror in Portland.” He said the place has been all but incinerated, and there are no businesses left. At a news conference, he talked about “the destruction of the city.”

He has ordered hundreds of federal or federalized troops sent to the streets of Portland, to curb the wave of destruction and attacks on federal officials. (If you look at voting statistics, it’s clearly true that Portlanders do not like Trump, at the least.)

Oregon officials have pushed back. Keith Wilson, who as mayor of Portland actually, you know, lives there, said in a statement, “If President Trump came to Portland today, what he would find is people riding their bikes. Playing sports. Enjoying the sunshine. Buying produce at a farmers' market.”

The state of Oregon (like the state of California before it) has taken the Trump Administration to court on the issue, and so far, at this writing, has fended off the troops, which state and local officials say are not needed and would create problems where few or none now exist.

We all know about President Trump and his rhetorical, um, flourishes. And it is true that local officials usually like to talk up the positives, rather than the negatives, in their communities. (And let it not be said that Portland is completely free of problems. As plenty of Portlanders will tell you, they have some, homelessness, traffic and high housing prices among them. Boiseans could relate.)

I’m not a resident of Portland, but I do go through there from time to time, and I’ve been in town a couple of occasions in the last few weeks. Consistently this year I’ve seen a Portland that looks and acts more or less as it always does, prosperous and intact, with people going about their business. I saw no significant dangers or destruction.

I’ve found, and written about, the one real center of protest, the city’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) office, which is located in one building on one block a couple of miles south of downtown. Protesters often appear around it, but only once this year (back in June) has it turned violent, and the numbers of protesters usually haven’t exceeded about two dozen at a time, mostly consistenting of seniors who are there as part of religious groups. Traffic all around the building flows normally. ICE operations inside appear to be going on unimpeded. The protests seem not to have expanded beyond that one block. That’s just about the extent of the “chaos” in Portland.

Okay, that’s my view. But still, who do you believe?

Here’s a case where you can resolve the question conclusively for yourself.

Take a road trip. Head down Interstate 84, all the way to the end where it merges with I-5 in the middle of Portland, and then head off on a street tour. You can visit the east side of the Willamette River, the industrial district, or even the less-affluent (some say long-ignored by city hall) far east side of town, or the downtown area. Oh, and while you’re downtown be sure to check out Powell's, one of the best and most famous book stores in the world, and still very much in business. Parking likely will be your biggest problem.

If you want to check out the scene at ICE, you can take Macadam Road south from downtown, and look to your left. You’ll know you’ve gotten to protest central when you see some sign carriers.

So drive around and check it all out. It’s about as safe as Boise. I promise.

As you return home, you may need to consider this question:

Who do you believe now? President Trump or your own lying eyes?