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Posts published in “Day: May 10, 2014”

A slate phenomenon

idaho RANDY

In the last few days of April, two Republican organizations announced their endorsements in the May primary elections. They were entirely different.

The North Idaho Political Action Committee, based at Coeur d'Alene, led by a group of long-time Republican activists and elected officials, offered this group of choices for statewide offices: Governor: C. L. "Butch" Otter; Lieutenant Governor: Brad Little; Secretary of State: Phil McGrane; Attorney General: Lawrence Wasden; Controller: Brandon Woolf.

The Republican Liberty Caucus, a more statewide group but also including some active Republican names, had a list of endorsees too. They were: Governor: Russ Fulcher; Lieutenant Governor: Jim Chmelik; Attorney General: Chris Troupis; Secretary of State: Lawerence Denney; Controller:Todd Hatfield; Superintendent of Public Instruction: John Eynon.

No overlap at all. And it's not just a matter of these two groups; the split among Republicans is large and deep and runs through and between many organizations.

From time to time, groups of nonpartisan candidates – candidates for elective office in a city, for example – might run in a slate. But this is the first time in decades at least, and maybe ever, that one of Idaho's parties has been largely split by slate contests, two groups of candidates facing off against each other.

Those two lists of endorsements cover most of the competitive races for major offices; the other is the 2nd U.S. House district, incumbent Mike Simpson (who would align with the NIPAC group) and challenger Bryan Smith (with the Liberty Caucus). A number of legislative candidates fall on either side of the canyon as well. The candidates mostly have not formally endorsed each other (though Little did endorse McGrane last week – is that a precursor to more?), but the alignment is clear.

There are a number of subtleties and implications to this.

One subtlety is the two races with four relatively well-balanced candidates, the races for secretary of state and superintendent of public instruction. NIPAC didn't endorse in the latter, making unclear who their side would prefer (though it likely wouldn't by Eynon); and though both sides did endorse for secretary of state, the two non-endorsed candidates may get enough votes that the battle of the slates could be scrambled.

Beyond that, you might realistically expect that most of the wins on election day will be bunched on one side or the other. People are likely to vote Otter-Little-Wasden-Simpson, or Fulcher-Chmelik-Troupis-Smith, not (for example) Fulcher-Little-Wasden-Smith. The lines are being drawn clearly.
That also may mean these candidates are becoming interdependent: A really smart move, or a serious blunder, by one candidate could impact their allies, causing some voters to jump from one side to the other.

That kind of thing often happens in clearly-defined slates at other levels. On the city level, slates often rise or fall in unity. (I remember vividly the big win of a well-organized city slate in Boise in 1985, that upended city hall and brought Dirk Kempthorne to the mayor's office.)

But then, this is an unusual phenomenon. Idaho history hasn't seen slate campaigns in party primaries before. Shortly, the voters will be setting some precedents.

On the front pages


Here’s what public affairs news made the front page of newspapers in the Northwest today, excluding local crime, features and sports stories. (Newspaper names contracted with location)

Reviewing state AG contest (Boise Statesman)
Boise city gets tracts from Day family (Boise Statesman)
Fish & Game warn of wildlife feeding (IF Post Register)
Gallina replaces Acey on superior WA court (Lewiston Tribune)
Lawsuit challenging WA pot taxation (Lewiston Tribune)
Dispute over rules for bighorn sheep (Lewiston Tribune)
Dogs not allowed in UI facilities (Moscow News)
WSU tuition not rising in coming year (Moscow News)
Bujak, former prosecutor, not guilty (Nampa Press Tribune)
Legislative candidates in denate (Nampa Press Tribune)
Ground breaks at Portneuf Wellness Center (Pocatello Tribune)
Schools won't fill in charter-sought forms (TF Times News)
Reviewing Lt Gov contest (TF Times News)

Gardiner Sanitary District board recalled (Coos Bay World)
Cover Oregon will may agents $900k (Coos Bay World)
Looking ahead to fire season (Coos Bay World)
A look at food stamp fraud ring (KF Herald & News)
Mule deer tag numbers rising (KF Herald & News)
SOU president didn't get other job (Ashland Tidings)
Recall attempt at Medford schools fails (Medford Tribune)
Campsite rules changes at Rogue/Siskiyou (Medford Tribune)
Bankrupt business may not repay city loan (Pendleton East Oregonian)
Walden hits hard on primary challenge (Portland Oregonian)
CEO of SAIF dismissed by board (Salem Statesman Journal)
Ward 8 council campaign in review (Salem Statesman Journal)

Machinists union leaders re-elected (Everett Herald)
Oso mudslide debris being cleared out (Everett Herald)
Kennewick senior priest dies (Kennewick Herald)
Finding help for displaced owls (Kennewick Herald)
School districts try for no child waivers (Tacoma News Tribune, Olympian)
Massive expansion of BMW carbon fiber plan (Seattle Times)
State looks closely at hillside logging (Seattle Times)
N Idaho Republicans deeply split (Spokane Spokesman)
Johnny's Seafood back at Tacoma (Tacoma News Tribune)
Suit challenges WA pot taxation (Vancouver Columbian)
Stewart seeks commission seat (Vancouver Columbian)
How to improve I-205? (Vancouver Columbian)
Good cherry crop predicted (Yakimma Herald Republic)