Writings and observations

If you have any interest in Idaho results, by all means go to the excellent Ada County clerk’s mapped results page.

It has a very easy tool for checking the results precinct by precinct. It says a lot very efficiently.

In Idaho, Tuesday was generally a good day for incumbency – which with rare exceptions meant good news for Republicans.

Best news for Democrats: Roaring back in the southeast Boise District 18, resuming control of all three seats there, which they had before two were unseated in 2010. (Both of those winning Republicans in 2010 were ousted.)

Worst news for Democrats: Two strong efforts in the west Boise District 15, for the Senate and one of the House seats (and the other House race wasn’t bad, either), fell short.

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Idaho

Scanning across Washington and Oregon, there’s really not much for Democrats not to like about tonight’s returns.

Democrats won just about everything in sight that was realistically up for grabs.

The big one, of course, was the Washington gubernatorial. Democrat Jay Inslee sits at 51.7% over Republican Rob McKenna, in a race a lot of people saw as a jump ball – and more than a few thought would edge to McKenna. The counting isn’t over, of course, but what’s left – a large chunk in Democratic King County – is more likely to pad Inslee’s margin than to subtract from it.

That one could have gone either way. So could Washington’s 1st district, a territory closely split between the parties with – it seemed to us – maybe a slight Republican lean. The Republican nominee, John Koster, was experienced and well-known, and has won elections in the past. But it appears to have gone, and not by a slight margin, to Democrat Suzan DelBene. (Turns out that de facto Democratic nomination really was worth fighting over.) Two other open seats, in the 6th (Derek Kilmer) and the (new) 10th (Denny Heck), went easily and as predicted to the Democrats.

The major really close race seems to be secretary of state, long in Republican hands, and at the moment there’s a very slight Democratic lead.

Less was on the table in Oregon, but Democrats seeking to hold secretary of state (where a really serious race developed, with the Republican getting newspaper endorsements almost uniformily around the state), treasurer and attorney general all were ahead convincingly. So was Brad Avakian, re-elected in a non-partisan race – theoretically – in which he was the understood Democrat and his opponent Bruce Starr the understood Republican. (Both have been elected as legislators under those parties’ banners.)

The major question remaining in Washington and Oregon has to do with the legislative makeup – Oregon’s in particular is on the edge. More on that later. But the toplines look very favorable for Democrats – close to a mirror of 2008 and a reversal from 2010.

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Oregon Washington

As of 8 pst.

Some thoughts on this – coming at just about the time President Obama seems to be nailing down 270+ to win a second term – as the numbers come in int he next little bit.

Update 8:17 p.m. Okay, I’ll go ahead and say it: With Colorado and Iowa called by major media, if the west coast (including Idaho) goes as expected, Obama has been re-elected. Whatever Ohio, Virginia and Florida do.

BTW, on the Huffington Post electoral map, that site just declared Obama as the winner with 275 (so far) electoral votes – kicked over the line by the addition of Oregon’s seven electoral votes, just added to the blue column.

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Northwest