Two years ago about this time, not many people outside the Oregon Republican Party strategic circles would have thought very likely that Republicans would pick up enough state House seats to bring that party to 30-30 parity with the Democrats. There was a foreshadowing of it, though, on the Friday night speech session at the Dorchester conference. There, Republican leaders asked the candidates for the House to stand – and announced that they represented candidacies for all but three (or was it four?) of the 60 House seats.
That statistic was a hell of a marker, and what became clearer through the campaign season is that a lot of those candidates were, in addition, solid candidates, quality contenders and no mere placeholders. Republicans last cycle had the advantage of a favorable year in 2010, but their strong recruitment effort put them in position to take advantage.
This time? Now that we have the filings before us, we know that Oregon Republicans are giving free rides to Democrats in only four of the 60 House seats – a performance, based on the statistic at least, that could put them in good shape for the fall. Oregon Democrats, on the other hand, are giving Republicans free rides in eight seats.
Starting at a 30-30 tie, such things matter.Share on Facebook