Polling favors Bonamici, 52-41

That’s the top line in today’s Public Policy Polling survey. But there’s more of interest by way of establishing the context.

The favorables of the two candidates are distinctive, Democrat Suzanne Bonamici at 56-30 (favorable-unfavorable) and Republican Rob Cornilles at 44-42. Cornilles has run districtwide before and has gotten more negative headlines over time than Bonamici has. No great shock.

If we’ve been remarking here that Oregon 1 is a Democratic district, this poll shows it in item after item, and that’s probably the crucial factor. Asked “Would you prefer that the new representative from your district caucused with the Democrats or the Republicans in Congress?,” the respondents went with Democrats 50-39 – almost smack on to the top line results.

On President Obama, the favorables were soft at 49-46. The respondents still preferred him over Newt Gingrich 55-37, and over Mitt Romney 53-40. A Democratic district.

There was also this, though: “Would you support or oppose repealing Measure 36, which defines marriage as a union of one man and one woman?” This district, which surely is more Democratic and liberal than most of Oregon, opposed repeal 43-42. The forces pushing for repeal still obviously have some work to do.

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