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Posts published in “Day: December 12, 2011”

$1 mill in the 1st – on just one side?

The National Journal is reporting that national Democratic organizations are preparing to unload $1 million, basically for television time, in the special election in the Oregon 1st district that wraps up on January 31.

The Journal compared the buy to a massive Republican buy for an open House seat in Nevada a few months ago.

"The NRCC's gamble paid off in the Reno district that only voted for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., in 2008 by 89 votes - Republican Mark Amodei won by a 22 point margin. While the Portland seat is far safer for Democrats - President Obama took this district with 61 percent of the vote - if you can take one thing away from this volatile climate, it's that no one is safe. On the heels of their embarrassment in Weiner's seat, and especially as the presidential race is amping up next year and Democrats are trying to make a case to donors that they can win back the House, a loss in Oregon would a fatal blow," the report said.

A win by Republican Rob Cornilles over Democrat Suzanne Bonamici probably would be tough. That's said with no polling having yet surfaced (interesting) and with weeks to go before the ballots hit.