Archive for October, 2011

Oct 17 2011

Order: Release those names

Published by under Washington

As per normal, this decision presumably will be appealed. But it has a ring of eventual finality – given the U.S. Supreme Court’s generally open-records recent history.

Released today, the ruling from U.S. District Judge Benjamin Settle of Tacoma in Doe v. Sam Reed said that Protect Marriage Washington doesn’t have the right to keep secret the names of people who signed a petition to put a referendum on the ballot. The referendum, R-71, was proposed by a group of opponents to gay marriage on the broad extension of the state’s domestic partnership rules.

The argument was over whether the names on the petitions ought to be considered private, the way ordinary votes are (votes, say, on the referendum after it was on the ballot). But before it could get to the ballot came a policy choice about putting it there – the sort of policy choice that usually has operated in more sunlight.

PMW argued that people might be subject to harassment if their names were released.

But as in some other cases, evidence of harassment was thin.

“Similarly here [as in other cases], PMW was able to secure 137,000 signers for R-71 and obtained nearly half the vote with 838,842 votes. And Doe has not supplied competent evidence or adequate authority to support its claim that R-71 signers constitute a fringe organization with unpopular or unorthodox beliefs or one that is seeking to further ideas that have been ‘historically and pervasively rejected and vilified by both this country’s government and its citizens.’ “Pretty much the opposite, one would think, and the court found similarities between this case and others were more open rules applied.

Testimony was brought from a number of initiative supporters saying they had been – in their terms anyway – harassed. But as the judge noted, these were all public figures, all well known for their stands on gay-related issues for some time, and little evidence was brought that their involvement in R-71 specifically subjected them to harassment. Besides that, the judge noted that more than 800 contributors had (as per the state’s campaign finance law) been publicly listed as backers of the R-71 effort, with little evidence of any blowback.

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Oct 17 2011

C-52

Published by under Idaho

And the Idaho redistricting commission’s work seems to be done, with a congressional plan that looks a whole lot like the one Idahoans have had for decades, save only some shifting of precincts in central-west Ada County.

That was almost certainly what was inevitably going to happen, eventually, though this one could have headed toward deadlock. The Republicans on the commission were determined that a split-Ada approach would happen, and the Democrats wanted a plan that united Canyon County with the rest of southern and eastern Idaho. The odds of that major shift occurring were … never high.

So Democrat Ron Beitelspacher switched sides and voted with the Republicans for split-Ada.

Does it make any real partisan difference? Evidently some Democrats seem to think so, but it’s hard to see how: Both districts, either way, remain overwhelmingly Republican. Changes on a scale much larger than redistricting can afford would be needed to turn either district genuinely competitive.

Now the question: Will someone sue, and if so over what?

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Oct 16 2011

Marching in Roseburg

Published by under Oregon

Donna Nelson
Occupy events at Roseburg/photo by Barbara Rainey

The Occupy movement has spread to some small and conservative communities. A report from blogger Barrett Rainey, who lives in Roseburg, Oregon, and reports on activities there. Cross-posted from Rainey’s Second Thoughts blog.

Well, I was wrong. Our little right-leaning community here in the forests of Southwest Oregon really did try its hand at the “Occupy” demonstrations last Saturday. I’d previously said it likely wouldn’t happen here where all things political list to starboard. More of a sharp slant, actually.

A few more than 100 folks from seniors to toddlers gathered at the Douglas County Courthouse, then marched across town to the BLM offices for another round of speech-making and display of signs. They picked the BLM, I guess, as the local representative of federal government. The only local fed site larger is the V.A. Hospital campus and who wants to picket a hospital where some of your friends are? And where you may end up?

The kids at the local almost-daily paper duly recorded the thoughts of a few of the participants and published several pictures. But, as usual, there was more to the story that escaped them. First, a little history.

A few months ago, a dozen or so mostly seniors – mostly Democrats – gathered in a local park to sit at tables and talk politics. And grandkids and the price of gas and other subversive things. Soon they were confronted by mostly male – and completely right wing representatives – with nasty signs and nasty, confrontational words. And a fella who shot a video – of what to normal folks would be an embarrassment – to post on a local fringe website.

When the Dems left the park to reconvene at a private residence, the nut jobs followed, tried to trespass, were turned away and settled for blocking the driveway for an hour or two. For the next several weeks the screwballs were roundly chastised by the local, literate citizenry in letters to the editor.

O.K., back to this weekend’s “Occupy” day. The kids at the almost-daily missed – or deliberately avoided mentioning – the collection of some of these same righties standing – where else – on the fringes. One, who likes to think of himself as the epicenter of all-things right locally – was taking pictures of individuals and making a written list of the names of those he knew. He even tried to bait a few passers by, challenging their right to entitlement programs or their “socialist” demonstration. Nobody bit. Continue Reading »

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Oct 15 2011

L87

Published by under Idaho

L87

The adopted map

 

And redistricting in Idaho is, apparently, about done: The commission on Friday adopted a plan, L87, by unanimous vote:

The legalistic requirements seem to be met fairly cleanly: The highest population deviation reported is -5.24%. Not bad.

Looking around the map, a few impressions …

Overall, Democrats should be reasonably happy. They should like the Coeur d’Alene-area, and Moscow and Lewiston-based, districts, which are clearly drawn and surprisingly compact. The Boise-area districts are in generally not bad for them either, and they got mostly what they wanted in the Blaine County and Pocatello areas as well. Some of the Boise-area Democrats were thrown into more problematic districts with a Republican or two (notably the three in District 16). Still, it’s better than they had good reason to expect.

People in the two districts that have generated complaints – the Owyhee/Twin Falls district in the southwest, and the Franklin-Bear Lake-Caribou-Bonneville-Teton district in the southeast – will get less satisfaction, because those districts largely remain in place. We will hear complaints form those quarters that the districts they have disliked (with reason) for the last 10 years will be extended another 10.

In fact, taken as a whole, this map looks a great deal like the current one (and not tremendously like the map proposed by the former outgoing commission). It almost seems as if the commission took a leaf from Oregon, starting with the current map and just tweaking it as necessary.

A large batch of legislators will confirm, though, that it isn’t an exact match: A lot of them were thrown together in districts with more incumbent legislators than available seats. They include the House speaker and majority leader – You can say this about the plan: The powerful got no special protection.

Senate matchups (drawn largely from blog reports of the Spokesman-Review‘s Betsy Russell):

District 1: Sens. Shawn Keough, R-Sandpoint, and Joyce Broadsword, R-Sagle
District 11: Sens. Patti Anne Lodge, R-Huston, and Melinda Smyser, R-Parma
District 16: Sens. John Andreason, R-Boise, and Les Bock, D-Boise
District 20: Sens. Shirley McKague, R-Meridian, and Chuck Winder, R-Boise
District 23: Sens. Bert Brackett, R-Rogerson, and Tim Corder, R-Mountain Home

House:

District 5: Reps. Dick Harwood, R-St. Maries; Shirley Ringo, D-Moscow; and Tom Trail, R-Moscow
District 8: House Speaker Lawerence Denney, Reps. Carlos Bilbao, Judy Boyle, Ken Roberts (assistant majority leader), Steven Thayn
District 14: Reps. Reed DeMordaunt, R-Eagle; Marv Hagedorn, R-Meridian; Mike Moyle, R-Star House Majority Leader)
District 16: Reps. Max Black, R-Boise; Grant Burgoyne, D-Boise; Elfreda Higgins, D-Boise
District 23: Reps. Pete Nielsen, R-Mountain Home; Jim Patrick, R-Twin Falls; and Rich Wills, R-Glenns Ferry
District 24: Reps. Sharon Block, R-Twin Falls; Stephen Hartgen, R-Twin Falls; Leon Smith, R-Twin Falls
District 30: Reps. Janice McGeachin, R-Idaho Falls; Erik Simpson, R-Idaho Falls; Jeff Thompson, R-Idaho Falls

By my count, 33 legislators will be tossed into these uncomfortable spots – just under a third of the legislature. And that means a lot of seats will be open, too.

Odds are, in any event, this is it.

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Oct 14 2011

The highest ends

Published by under Oregon,Washington

Of note: The spots in the Northwest that are the costliest to live, at least in terms of median hosing prices.

Forbes magazine put together a list of the 500 most expensive zip codes in the country. Four from Washington made the list, two from Oregon, none from Idaho.

Highest-ranking at 46 was Medina, Washington (across Lake Washington from Seattle), with a median home price of $2 million (boosted a bit no doubt by Bill Gates’ waterfront spread). The other three from the Evergreen: 209 – Mercer Island (median $1 million), 235 – Seattle 98112 (median $957,079) and 247 – Bellevue 98004 (median $938,940).

The two from Oregon: 401 Arch Cape on the coast (median $749,500 and 483 Lake Oswego (median $676,410).

Nothing shocking there, just worthy of note.

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Oct 13 2011

Occupied Mac

Published by under Oregon

occupy
Occupy in downtown McMinnville, at the US Bank square/photo by Randy Stapilus

 

The Occupy events in the big cities – New York, Boston, even Portland – get most of the headlines, but as of last week and especially this week they’re getting underway even in many smaller communities. As in our nearest mid-sized city, McMinnville.

This one is smaller scale, in numbers and ambition. About 30 people were there for the opening of the event at 11 a.m. today, at the US Bank plaza downtown (in front of the Ben Franklin statue), but organizers were hoping to triple that as the group walked a few blocks north up Third Street (the main downtown road) to a city park.

No one there really looked much like a hippy. (The crowd skewed older.) The signs were much like those most familiar from other marches: “People before Profit”; “You are the 99%”; “Jobs not Cuts/Tax Wall Street”; “Corporations are not People; Money is not Speech”; “Main Street not Wall Street.”

No long-term stays were anticipated there. But the sheer numbers of protesters across the country does provide an indicator of something substantial going on.

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Oct 13 2011

The Propagandists

Published by under Idaho

A report well worth reading just released from the Southern Poverty Law Center, which tracks hate groups, involving Idaho to a substantial extent but not on the subject of neo-Nazis.

The Propagandists: Bryan Fischer, the American Family Association & the Demonization of LGBT People” fills in the story of Fischer, a highly visible Idaho figure in the first half of the last decade. Three years ago, he took a job as head of the American Family Association and remained audible, at least, via a radio program.

Controversial since its founding in 1977, the gentle-sounding AFA has been anything but. Since Fischer’s arrival especially, it’s not hard to see how the SPLC would place it on its list of hate groups:

But in the last three years, since hiring a radical Idaho preacher named Bryan Fischer as its director of issue analysis, the AFA has gone even further. Since moving to Mississippi to join the group, Fischer has declared that “homosexuality gave us Adolph Hitler … the Nazi war machine and six million dead Jews” — a complete falsehood, as any historian knows. He has suggested that gay sex be recriminalized. He has routinely claimed that gay men molest children at rates far higher than those of heterosexual men — another falsehood, as all the relevant professional scientific associations have long agreed. Fischer has said that President Obama “nurtures a hatred for the white man” and suggested that welfare incentivizes black “people who rut like rabbits.” He has said that non-Christian religions “have no First Amendment right to the free exercise of religion,” claimed that the “sexual immorality of Native Americans” was part of what made them “morally disqualified from sovereign control of American soil,” and suggested that the best way to deal with promiscuity would be to kill the promiscuous.”

The background about Fischer’s activities in Idaho, contains some new information and perspective, and is worth the read. As well as the larger picture.

A question: Why are broadcasters giving Fischer and this group air time?

The report overall was written by Heidi Beirich, Evelyn Schlatter
and Robert Steinback, and edited by Mark Potok. The portion of it containing the Fischer profile came from Idaho writers Jody May-Chang and Jill Kuraitis.

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Oct 12 2011

Who profits

Published by under Washington

liquor

One of the books on my bookshelf since its publication in 1986 is Who Profits: Winners, Losers and Government Regulation, by Robert Leone. It’s an academic treatment, but it offers a useful framework for looking at regulation, and an ironic one too: His academic background (Harvard) notwithstanding, Leone suggests that regulations – meaning law and rules generally – are best examined from a practical and economic standpoint, not ideological.

On page 135, he writes that “the first and perhaps most obvious characteristic of management to government policy is that it tends to be ideological. That is to say, management’s first reaction, especially to the adverse consequences of regulation or government intervention, tends to be a principled one and not an economic one.” Leone argues that while ideology has a useful place in politics, it is “counterproductive” in evaluating policy. Look instead, he suggests, at the practical effects. (For his full and compelling argument as to why, read the book.)

All that comes to mind in reading the excellent Seattle Times column out today by Bruce Ramsey on Initiative 1183, the measure that would allow for sale of hard liquor in private stores, instead of (as at present) only in state stores. It is a revision of two measures that failed at the polls last year.

Among the key arguments (implicitly or explicitly) against the measure are that liquor could be sold in thousands of tiny shops all over the place, and that teenage drinking could be expected to rise. Ramsey makes short work of these. He noted studies showing that teenage drinking is actually at lower levels in California, Nevada and Arizona, where private store sales are allowed, than in Washington, Oregon and Idaho, which all are state-store states. And he points out that, in contrast to at least one of the 2010 measures, few stores under 10,000 square feet – meaning few if any convenience stores or mini-marts – could qualify to be sellers.

Having made clear that the debate over the initiative isn’t about any of these things:

“This is a high-stakes fight. It’s fun to write about public safety, or whether selling schnapps is a proper function of government. But the organizations writing million-dollar checks are playing to win. To them it is a fight over the market for alcoholic spirits in a state of 6.6 million people — and also about Washington’s rules for selling wine, which 1183 frees from pricing restrictions. Costco is bankrolling the Yes campaign. It wants to get into the market in bottled spirits in its home state. It also wants more freedom to buy wine and sell it at good prices. The Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America are bankrolling the No campaign. Their members like the rules just as they are — and they do not want to compete with Costco.”

The rest, he said, is just “face paint and rubber masks.” He seems to have it about right. The guess here is that Leone might agree.

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Oct 12 2011

Carlson: Losing touch

Published by under Carlson,Washington

carlson
Chris Carlson
Carlson Chronicles

On Election Day, in November of 1994, a Seattle reporter for the Hearst-owned Seattle Post-Intelligencer came by my office in downtown Spokane early in the day wanting to know what I thought we’d know at the end of day, after the polls closed and the ballots were counted.

Solveig Torvik, of obvious Norwegian heritage, was raised in Blackfoot. By reputation she was a solid, well-informed reporter who did her homework. When I opined that the end of the day would see Tom Foley become the first sitting Speaker of the House to lose both his seat in Congress and the Speaker’s gavel since something like 1846, Ms. Torvik was shocked.

Surely the people of Washington’s 5th Congressional District had enough sense not to turn their back on their own self-interest in having the most powerful member of the House, the person second in line for the presidency, as their congressman?

The answer came quickly within 90 minutes after the polls closed: Yes, the voters of the 5th District were, in their view, willing to place the needs of America ahead of their own self-interest and retire the Speaker who had served them so well for 30 years. The 5th district, along with Idaho’s 1st district, bought into Newt Gingrich’s “Contract with America” hook, line and sinker.

My answer to the why was even simpler: Speaker Foley had lost touch with the voters. Continue Reading »

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Oct 11 2011

Rosellini, with a rose

Published by under Washington

Rosellini
Albert Rosellini

Albert Rosellini‘s father was a saloon keeper whose business was shut down by the coming of prohibition. He grew up in the Ranier Valley area of south Seattle when it was known as Garlic Gulch because of all the immigrant Italian families there.

Rosellini, who would become governor of Washington for two terms (elected 1956 and 1960, defeated in bids for third terms in 1964 and 1972), lived through some astounding changes before his death Monday at the age of 101. As a political record-setter, there was this: He was the first Catholic elected governor from a state west of the Mississippi.

He was known for a good many things, including his improbable tangential connection to “strippergate” not so many years ago, but probably most significantly to infrastructure (well, that and the Seattle World’s Fair, which he promoted heavily). One of the Puget Sound area’s landmark construction projects, the floating bridge on Lake Washington that links Seattle and Medina via SR 520.

All these years it has been a free-passage bridge. But that would be the same SR 520 on which that is about to change, as the Washington Department of Transportation notes: “Electronic tolling starts in December on the SR 520 bridge to help pay for the construction of a new faster, safer bridge.”

Haven’t seen any commentary from Rosellini on the new tolls. But he undoubtedly had some opinions about a bridge construction that could be done without them a half-century ago … but, apparently, no longer.

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Oct 10 2011

A press release, dissected

Published by under Idaho

We here make a fair amount of use of press releases; we grab a good deal of material from them for our weekly Digests and other things. Much maligned, they can be highly useful. They tend to be pretty accurate, at least as far as they go, and if you have enough background to know when you’re being spun, to know what’s inflated, and to know what’s being left out, you can gather a lot of useful information through them.

Some of these matters show up in an excellent piece today in the Twin Falls Times News, which dissects a press release from Senator Mike Crapo. Of this one in particular, the paper concluded, “As with most press releases we receive, Crapo’s release is completely factual. But the data is also spun harder than it should be.” Fairly normal for press releases from most political sources.

The article itself is a nice piece of background, well worth reading whether you are or aren’t on many news release mailing lists.

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Oct 10 2011

Two more items from debate in the 1st

Published by under Oregon

ONE. The 1st district debate, involving three Democrats and three Republicans, saw relatively few direct shots between candidates, and most of those were between two Republicans, Rob Cornilles and Jim Greenfield. (Greenfield considered Cornilles as insufficiently faithful to Republican principles.)

The main shot from a Democrat to a Republican, and it may have been the only one in the 90-minute debate, came from Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian to Greenfield. The subject was corporate profits and benefits and labor outsourcing; Greenfield argued that businesses including corporations need as favorable a tax and regulatory environment in the United States as they could get, to keep them here. Avakian said that (his words were fairly close to this) that the difference between Greenfield and himself is that Greenfield wanted the mass of corporate profits – and profits among major corporations are trending high, and the Fortune 500 is sitting on a mass of unspent money – and overall income, to go into the pockets of Americans, while Greenfield wants them to go into the pockets of multi-national corporations. (Greenfield did not seem to want to reply.)

It was a very well taken turn of phrase. Many Republicans have for years spoken of taxes as money taken “out of the pockets of Americans” and given over to the government. Avakian’s construction shows that the imagery can be put to effective use to make other points as well.

TWO. Cornilles told a story with a moral that seemed to come out of nowhere, and it merits a note here.

During the debate, he held up a business card from a cafe in Forest Grove. He said that afternoon he’d been walking downtown (presumably campaigning) and stopped in. On a Sunday afternoon, the place was empty – no customers. The owner rushed forward from the back of the cafe, expressing delight that a customer had shown up.

Cornilles didn’t report whether he became a customer, but did say the talk turned to politics, and he asked the owner what his biggest business problem was. “Taxes,” the owner replied.

The Republican candidate was making the point, of course, that taxes impinge on the ability of people to run their businesses. But after hearing his description of the cafe, we expected the owner to say that his biggest problem was a lack of customers. For any business, that would ordinarily be first and foremost. Taxes may be an irritant, but no customers, no business.

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Oct 09 2011

1st District debate: Setting markers

Published by under Oregon

Debate at Forest Grove
Debate in Forest Grove: from left, Lisa Michaels, Jim Greenfield (behind Michaels), Rob Cornilles, Brad Avakian, Suzanne Bonamici and Brad Witt (photo/Randy Stapilus)

If you’re a candidate, and in a crowd, you want to stand out. Preferably in a good way. The five candidates in the special election for Oregon’s 1st district U.S. House seat at Sunday’s debate in Forest Grove all stood out, in their various ways.

The debate at Pacific University was not the first of the campaign, but it was one of the first (maybe the first) to feature candidates from both major parties – three each, Democrats (Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian, state Senator Suzanne Bonamici and state Representative Brad Witt) and Republicans (businessman and 2010 nominee Rob Cornilles, Jim Greenfield and Lisa Michaels). The crowd numbered about 60, was well split between partisan supporters, and had lots of patience: The 90-minute forum for public questions followed a nearly 90-minute endorsement interview session for the Forest Grove paper (a Pamplin newspaper; that chain is substantial in Washington County).

In style, Cornilles and Avakian seemed most polished, organized and confident.

The three Democrats differed by degrees on several issues, but not dramatically. Witt was a little stiff and programmatic at first, but settled into a solid comfort level as the debate went on. Bonamici wasn’t far off the mark but by comparison seemed to have a soft night in several places. Top issue for all three was employment and the economy, and all favored federal infrastructure spending as a key in the solution. (Bonamici ran through a string of ideas, but didn’t put the pieces together.) The Democrats got into no scrapes.

The three Republicans were another story. Continue Reading »

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Oct 07 2011

Seattle v Portland occupiers …

Published by under Oregon,Washington

Is it difference in the cities? Almost feels as if it is.

From Portland, here’s the safety and crime situation as regards Occupy Portland from the point of view of the Police Bureau:

On October 7, 2011, representatives from Occupy Portland, the Portland Marathon, the Mayor’s office, and the City of Portland met to discuss plans for Chapman Park and Lownsdale Square.

After the conclusion of yesterday’s successful march, numerous people asked for permission to camp in the parks overnight. Those camping were told that the Portland Marathon has had a long-standing permit that began on October 7 at 9 a.m., to allow for preparations before Sunday’s Portland Marathon. This morning, Occupy Portland’s General Assembly held a press conference and stated that they were in support of the Portland Marathon and wanted to work collaboratively on an agreement that would suit the needs of both organizations.

The communication between all the parties has been marked by a desire to be collaborative. At this time, discussions are productive, but have not reached a final conclusion. We will release further updates as discussions progress.

The mood in the parks is relaxed, and people who are camping are otherwise following park rules. The Police Bureau will continuously monitor the camping situation, but are not expecting any large-scale issues.

Sounds about as positive as any side could hope for, and a lot better than many had expected. There had been some openly-expressed worries about violence and arrests, but none of that seemed to happen.

In Seattle, there were arrests, and there were problems. This from a post by a Seattle detective:

On October 5th Seattle Police encouraged demonstrators to remove tents from city property (Westlake Park). After numerous refusals to comply, officers arrested 25 demonstrators.

Of the 25 arrests, there were 21 adult males, two adult females, and two juvenile females.

Sixteen demonstrators were interviewed and released from the West Precinct. Those 16 cases will be forwarded to the City Attorney’s Office with a request for charges of Obstructing a Public Officer.

Nine demonstrators were booked into the King County Jail for Obstructing a Public Officer.

Officers from various Seattle Police units were utilized for this event: uniformed patrol, mounted patrol, foot beat, bicycle and traffic officers.

Why the difference? The Portland event, by the way, seemed to be the larger of the two.

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Oct 06 2011

Protest

Published by under Oregon

Watch live streaming video from oppdx at livestream.com

The Livestream of the Occupy Portland march and – gathering? – is hypnotizing, and the chat considerably more than the video.

The crowd does look, from what you can tell, like a more varied group than many of the commenters – a lot of whom have seized on “hippies” as the main perjorative – will willing to accept. There are quite a few people in any event; KGW-TV indicates an estimate of 4,000, and Portland police indicated perhaps 5,000. An Oregonian report said of the waterfront crowd (that being where the group gathered), it might amount to 10,000. Not a small group for mid-weekday.

The number of Livestream viewers, this afternoon, typically ranged around 1,600 to 1,800. (Irony: To watch the stream, you have to play an ad first, paid for by one of several large national corporations.) Most consistent chant: “We … are … the 99 percent.”

Two political figures spotted so far: Portland Mayor Sam Adams (who was there in connection with police management), and congressional candidate Brad Avakian, who was marching. Are there others?

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    and Randy Stapilus
    Caxton Press
    order here

    Outlaw Tales
    of Idaho

    by Randy Stapilus
    Globe-Pequot Press
    order here

    It Happened in Idaho
    by Randy Stapilus
    Globe-Pequot Press
    order here

    Camping Idaho
    by Randy Stapilus
    Globe-Pequot Press
    order here