May 25 2011
This was fairly obvious without polling, but now we have some numbers to attach to it.
With rare and unusual exceptions, candidates from one place make a mistake if they simply uproot and immediately run somewhere else. (Yes, Hillary Clinton did it sucessfully, and a few others, but those really were odd exceptions – they were national figures.) Dennis Kucinich of Ohio, the House member and periodic presidential contender, isn’t in that category. It sounded like a joke when talk shot around that, because post-redistricting he’s likely to be thrown into a congressional district with another incumbent, that he might look to run for Congress elsewhere. Like maybe Seattle.
And then he shows up in Seattle.
It’s not that Kucinich’s politics are far out of line with Seattle’s; on his visits there, he found plenty of backers. It’s that he has no connection with the region.
Voters seem to feel that way too. Public Policy Polling surveyed the issue, and Tuesday reported it found:
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… he’s not popular in the state with only 19% of voters rating him favorable to 28% with a negative opinion of him. But the numbers on a potential candidacy for him are worse than the favorability spread- only 12% think he should seek office in the state next year to 39% opposed to the concept.
Even among Democrats, who like Kucinich by a 33/19 margin, just 22% think he should run there next year to 35% who dissent. It really doesn’t matter whether Kucinich moves to Washington or not, he’s not going to get elected there next year.