Writings and observations

WA 8: Even odds

We have needed some convincing on the Round 2 challenge, in Washington’s 8th House district, of Democrat Darcy Burner to Republican incumbent Dave Reichert. Re-run races usually look better on paper than they often are in practice; what’s gained in better planning and experience is usually lost in freshness and voter appeal.

But exceptions happen, and this year we’ve gradually changed our minds about Burner’s rematch. Her fundraising and organization has been extraordinary. And what had looked like a year that might at best match the strong Democratic year of 2006 now begins to look as if it may sweep past it.

So we’ve come to the same point the Cook Report, one of the best-respective DC analysts, says today it has. The Report has just moved a pile of House races from “lean Republican” (Republican slightly favored) to “toss up” – even odds. (Of all the 27 “toss up” contests nationwide, 21 involve currently Republican seats.) One of those is Washington 8 (eastern King and northeastern Pierce). At this point, it looks like the only truly even-odds major race in the Northwest.

Share on Facebook