This week’s “Rogue of the Week” for Willamette Week is a national figure, but a former Portland (KATU-TV) broadcaster, Bill O’Reilly. O’Reilly was only engaging in his usual routine of overheated misinformation, but this time he was pointing it back at Portland. Hence the reference.
Details at the link. In general, as the Week suggested, if you take O’Reilly’s core shot – “If you let the crazy educators run wild, which they are in many, many parts of the country, then we’re just going to lose the country, because the kids are confused. They don’t know what the heck is going on” – and replace the references to educators and kids with “O’Reilly” and “his viewers,” you’ve about nailed it.
Tom Sowa of the Spokesman-Review adds, “It’s no surprise that a Boston mobile services company hired drivers to spend hundreds of hours prowling Spokane and Kootenai counties. That company, Skyhook Wireless, is collecting the location of nearly every Wi-Fi signal in public spaces, building a database that is the key resource it sells to customers like Apple and others.”
Afew days ago we pointed to a badly blown video against Washington Republican gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi, mainly because of the theme music it employed (from “The Sopranos”). The theme music wasn’t it’s only problem, though; the ad was simply so busy that little of its mass of message stuck.
Contrast that with the series of quick, simple 15-second spots developed by the group Evergreen Progress (whose main backers, it says, are Service Employees International Union Washington State Council, Democratic Governors Association, Washington Federation of State Employees, Sheet Metal Workers Local 66 PAC, International Union of Operating Engineers Local 302). With 15 seconds to run, they aren’t detailed. But they don’t have to be. They each make a fast, hard point, then encourage people to go to their web site dontknowdino.com for the supportive background.
This is effective stuff. There are three of them now, and looks as if there could be a good many more. And you can imagine a candidate trying to swat away all those 15-second gnats. (Maybe something Rossi’s campaign would be well to consider.)
Anyone following the Seattle-based Discovery Institute, and its activities and connections, will want to check out this extensive blog post on DI’s links to a new bill in Louisiana, likely to become law soon, aimed at installing de facto creationism in the state’s schools.
Further of note: The person who may make it law is the governor, Bobby Jindal, who is being talked up quite a bit as a possible vice presidential pick for Republican presidential nominee-presumptive John McCain.
Some years back, in an early version of this blog, we said that plans for renovation of the Idaho Statehouse were driving up the cost, once estimated at around $40 million, upward in the direction of $100 million.
That drew a stern chastisement from one of the people on the committee, arguing that estimates had the cost at nowhere near $100 million – no, far less.
Today’s headline in the Idaho Statesman: “Capitol renovation boosts budget to $122.5 million.” Up from a recent previous estimate of $120 million.
One of our long-standing political rules of thumb: Major court rulings that address emotional topics tend to energize the side that lost. Think abortion. Think busing. Think gay marriage (2004, though much of the emotion so prominent then seems bleached out now). And now, as of today, think gun control.
Well we remember an evening some years back at a political event in the Idaho Panhandle. After hearing several Democratic candidates make their case, a group of guys in the back of the room were still shaking their heads, and they would not be swayed. They agreed with the bulk of what the candidates said, but had two problems. A nagging one, with abortion. And a big one – they were convinced, no matter what they heard from the candidates (several of whom also owned guns), that the Democrats were about to take away their guns if they got elected. Period. And that was a deal breaker.
Well, today, in District of Columbia v. Heller, the U.S. Supreme Court declared in effect that the U.S. Constitution would bar any attempt to do what those guys in the back of the room were concerned about: “Held: The Second Amendment protects an individual right to possess a firearm unconnected with service in a militia, and to use that arm for
traditionally lawful purposes, such as self-defense within the home.”
That rustling sound you hear is the air going out of the they’re-coming-for-our-guns mindset. Not all of it, of course: No decision or action by anyone would eliminate it all. But a lot of people for whom gun ownership is very big deal are likely to look at that subject a little differently, with less concern, than they did not long ago.
Eventually, there may be some counterblast, from the organizational roots, for gun regulation. But not right away. In the meantime, the dynamics may well have changed.
Yes, the new anti-Dino Rossi video by Washington Democrats was way over the top, and because of one element that involved not a single word spoken or written, or even an image. This could be a first, an ad gone very bad because of the theme music.
Everything but for the theme music seemed to be more or less in bounds. It is true that Rossi, the Republican running again this year for governor, is very close to the Building Industry Association of Washington, and the BIAW has been a major funder and supporter. The ad’s text and clips make the point powerfully.
But then they play that unmistakable Sopranos music behind it. Intended to suggest someone’s mobbed up here? (You have to ask: Would the idea even have arisen had the candidate been named Ross instead of Rossi?)
Kelly Steele of the Washington Democrats said the music wasn’t intended to suggest any such thing: “It’s a catchy song, which we thought jibed stylistically with our communication about Rossi’s designated attack squad – the BIAW – who continue to pour millions into false and misleading attack ads against Gov. Gregoire.” Just coincidence, apparently, that particular catchy song came from a program about Italian mobsters.
The Idaho Tax Commission has delivered its response to the batch of serious charges delivered several weeks back by veteran auditor Stan Howland. (We’ve posted it.)
The response is longer than Howland’s original, and as blunt: “The Commission, and the individuals involved, reject as completely untrue any allegation that cases are illegally or inappropriately compromised. ”
A key procedural element, referred to right up front: “When a taxpayer protests an NODD [Notice of Deficiency Determination], it is important that the protest process offer an impartial review. Moreover, it must be seen to offer an impartial review. It is difficult to have an impartial review, and impossible to be seen to have one, when the auditor sits in judgment on his own NODD. That is why auditor involvement is minimized at the protest level. Protests are heard either by Commissioners or their designees.”
On the other hand, if those conducting the impartial review hearing mostly from the taxpayer and very little from the auditor, you can develop some unusual forms of impartiality.
Maybe we should re-evaluate just how much trouble Oregon Republican Senator Gordon Smith is in. We have been assuming that, while he’s certainly hard-pressed in a tough political year, the odds remain somewhat in his favor for November.
But if he thought so, if he thought he wasn’t on the edge of loss, why would he run an ad like this?
So the presidential nominee of the other party is now serving as Smith’s character witness? Don’t believe even Idaho Democrats, desperate as they could sometimes be, ever slipped to trying that one.
This has been picked up by national blogs; the Talking Points Memo has run the reply line from the Barack Obama campaign, just to clarify things: “‘Barack Obama has a long record of bipartisan accomplishment and we appreciate that it is respected by his Democratic and Republican colleagues in the Senate. But in this race, Oregonians should know that Barack Obama supports Jeff Merkley for Senate. Merkley will help Obama bring about the fundamental change we need in Washington,’ said Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton.”
TPM also noted, “The ad is also further proof of just how far Smith will run away from the Republican brand in this blue state.” In your court, Oregon Republicans? (They might ask why Smith, who was one of John McCain’s early endorsers in the darkest days of that campaign, has run an ad aligning himself with Obama but not with McCain.)
The question was asked of everyone surveyed, which of these two views would come closest to your view: “It’s best for the future of our country to be active in world affairs,” or, “We should concentrate on problems here at home.”
Every religious tradition chose “here at home” over “active in world affairs” – nearly all by big margins – with just two exceptions. For understandable specific reasons, Jews went for “world affairs” by 53% to 37%. Just behind them, however, is a less-expected group – by 51% to 37%, Mormons agreed – the only other group on that side of the choice.
Worth thinking about in national electoral politics.
The outlines of the Northwest on religion are clear enough. In most of southern Idaho and in patches of eastern Oregon and Washington, Mormons are dominant. The Seattle and Portland metro areas are relatively secular. Evangelicals are strong in many of the suburban areas. And so forth.
Washington, Oregon and Idaho vary more or less under this type of lens generally as you’d expect they would. But the differences are enlightening anyway.
Some of the numbers seem a little unexpected out of context; among adherents generally, evangelical Christians (26% nationally) account for 25% in Washington and 30% in Oregon, but just 22% in Idaho; but you have to bear in mind that Mormons are counted separately from them, and they are estimated at 23% in Idaho, but 5% in Oregon and just 2% in Washington. Add the two (which makes sense, since despite their theological differences they have many social policy similarities) and you get 27% in Washington, 35% in Oregon and 45% in Idaho. A picture emerges.
(Add to this: The percentage of Roman Catholics is higher in Idaho, at 18%, than in Washington’s 16% or Oregon’s 14%. ) Continue Reading »
Tri-City Herald editor Rufus M. Friday: “We have more readers today than ever before — for our newspaper, our website and our specialty products. That’s our most important measure of success for the future.”
Guilt by association runs rampant in campaign season, and too often people with thin connections get used as a club to wallop some candidate or other.
Sometimes, though, the connection is strong enough that the tie is legitimate. In the 2004 gubernatorial race, the Building Industry Association of Washington as tight as could be with Republican candidate Dino Rossi, to the point of running point on his post-election battles over vote counting.
So we’re paying attention when Rossi’s campaign drops mention of his speaking at a BIAW luncheon last week, after being introduced by the group’s leader as a “candidate who believes as BIAW believes.”
That, of course, opened the door: What does the group believe? Said one opinion aarticle in the groups’s publication (see page 8): “Hitler’s Nazi Party: They Were Eco-Extremists” – and yes, the language in it follows suit: “Knowing my parallel would illicit screams of protest—how politically incorrect of me to mention Hitler and Nazis in the same breath as
DOE or the environmental lobby—I explored the actual connection between environmental extremism and Hitler’s Nazi party. . . So, much like Stalin and Hitler were divided on how to best go about their socialistic schemes, environmentalists are also divided over how to best go about their socialistic scheme of controlling human development—either by burning houses down
with Molotov cocktails, or slowly squeezing the life out of it through extensive, Soviet-esque micromanagement.” Quite a view of the world; it drew a complaint from the Anti-Defamation League.
And, of course, elsewhere, such quotables as saying Governor Christine Gregoire is a “heartless, power-hungry she-wolf who would eat her own young to get ahead” whose backers are “witches.”
In politics, best to be careful who you get close to.
Ever considered living way out there, out in – no, we won’t say the middle of nowhere – in a really low-population place? Far from the crowds? Really far?
Check out the piece on Paulina today in the Bend Bulletin, and you can start to imagine what it’s like (if not necessarily yourself doing it). Nearest substantial community: Prineville, about an hour away. (It’s way up in the Ochoco Mountains on the Beaver River.) If that gives you the itch to learn more, check out the community’s web site (technically, the local store’s, but there’s not much difference).
(We are based in a small town, Carlton. But there are close to 2,000 people in it; it’s about six miles from a city of 30,000; and an hour from Portland. Small, rural, but not remote. Paulina is remote . . .)
Those of us who can as easily take or leave the nearby presence of a major league sports team haven’t had much reason to fully internalize the business-model realities of having one in place. But, thanks to the Seattle Sonics trial (over who properly has ownership of the team), we’re getting a great insight into that. For those of us simply interested in the phenomenon, this whole bloodbath has turned into an excellent education.
Specific case in point is a lawyer-client document, just released in the course of the trial, which is one of the best pieces of reading we’ve seen on the business model and strategic considerations of obtaining and running a major league franchise. Some pieces of it may be taken as a little scandalous, and certainly it does gray out the formerly clear-cut spin of Seattle hometown advocates as the good guys and the “Oklahomans” – the current Sonics owners – as the black hats. The new document comes from the city/hometowner side, and it is quite blunt. Cynical? You might say so, but we’d just call it realistic.
You get some of that from the Powerpoint’s headline: “Why a Poisoned Well Affords a Unique Opportunity.”
If you want to run a major league sports team (and really, how many tens of millions of people have thought about it?), the report says, there are three key considerations: “Scarcity: they are hard to come by; Economics: They are hard to operate properly; Reputation: They are hard on the owner’s reputation.” All three seem at first counterintuitive; pause for a moment, and all three make sense.
Few regional franchises are ever available; the attorneys note that “for example, big four franchises have been available for sale in the Seattle market 11 times in their combined 100 years of operation.” Only about half of the NBA franchises operate at a profit at any one time (sounds like a bad business to get into if money is the objective). And: “Few sports team owners are loved (or even just not reviled) by the local community. Franchises can be seen as ‘rich boy toys,’ subsidized by [the] public.”
There’s much more, much of the rest being Seattle-specific. This is a highly recommended read.
Some reporters asked that question, but the initial indicators were uneven. Reports today, though, suggest that a point man on this is emerging: State Senator Brent Hill, R-Rexburg, who is himself an accountant.
And a commission response is supposed to be out on Monday. When we see it, we’ll link to it.
Today’s national “House line” on most competitive U.S. House seats – no, actually, seats most likely to turn over in party control – by the Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza ranks the Washington state 8th district at number 17 nationally. Considering that the trend line is showing a likelihood of 20+ seats turning this year from Republican to Democratic, that puts Washington 8 on the edge.
We started this year figuring Republican incumbent Dave Reichert had an edge, albeit a small one, heading into the rematch with Democrat Darcy Burner – such rematches fall short more often than not. But we’ve seen little this year to ramp up Reichert’s odds and quite a bit (money, national mood, better reviews among them) to improve Burner’s. Last time Cillizza reviewed this race, he slotted it at number 19; now it’s up two.
Cillizza’s take: “Every Republican strategist we talk to insists on the one hand that Rep. Dave Reichert is the only GOPer who could possibly hold this Seattle-area seat but on the other acknowledges that Reichert’s time may be up. Barack Obama at the top of the national ticket is bad news for Reichert, as the Democrats’ presidential candidate will roll up the vote in metropolitan Seattle. Darcy Burner, who took 49 percent of the vote in 2006 against Reichert, is, by all accounts, an improved candidate. The political environment is everything in this district. If Obama wins big in the 8th, he is likely to carry Burner along with him.”
"Essentially, I write in the margins of motherhood—and everything else—then I work these notes into a monthly column about what it’s like raising my two young boys. Are my columns funny? Are they serious? They don’t fit into any one box neatly. ... I’ve won awards for “best humorous column” though I actually write about subjects as light as bulimia, bullying, birthing plans and breastfeeding. But also bon-bons. And barf, and birthdays."
Raising the Hardy Boys: They Said There Would Be Bon-Bons. by Nathalie Hardy; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 238 pages. Softcover. $15.95. Raising the Hardy Boys page.
"Not a day passes that I don’t think about Vietnam. Sometimes its an aroma or just hearing the Vietnamese accent of a store clerk that triggers a memory. Unlike all too many soldiers, I never had to fire a weapon in anger. Return to civilian life was easy, but even after all these years away from the Army and Vietnam I find the experience – and knowledge – continue to shape my life daily."
Drafted! Vietnam in War and in Peace. by David R. Frazier; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton OR. 188 pgs. Softcover. $15.95. The DRAFTED! page.
Many critics said it could not be done - and it often almost came undone. Now the Snake River Basin Adjudication is done, and that improbable story is told here by three dozen of the people most centrally involved with it - judges, attorneys, legislators, engineers, water managers, water users and others in the room when the decisions were made. Through the Waters: An Oral History of the Snake River Basin Adjudication. edited by the Idaho State Bar Water Law Section and Randy Stapilus; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 300 pages. Softcover. $16.95. See the THROUGH THE WATERS page.
Oregon Governor Vic Atiyeh died on July 20, 2014; he was widely praised for steady leadership in difficult years. Writer Scott Jorgensen talks with Atiyeh and traces his background, and what others said about him. Conversations with Atiyeh. by W. Scott Jorgensen; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 140 pages. Softcover. $14.95. The CONVERSATIONS WITH ATIYEH page.
"Salvation through public service and the purging of awful sights seen during 1500 Vietnam War helicopter rescue missions before an untimely death, as told by a devoted brother, leaves a reader pondering life's unfairness. A haunting read." Chris Carlson, Medimont Reflections. ". . . a vivid picture of his brother Jerry’s time as a Medivac pilot in Vietnam and contrasts it with the reality of the political system . . . through the lens of a blue-collar, working man made good." Mike Kennedy. One Flaming Hour: A memoir of Jerry Blackbird. by Mike Blackbird; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 220 pages. Softcover. $15.95. See the ONE FLAMING HOUR page.
Back in Print! Frank Church was one of the leading figures in Idaho history, and one of the most important U.S. senators of the last century. From wilderness to Vietnam to investigating the CIA, Church led on a host of difficult issues. This, the one serious biography of Church originally published in 1994, is back in print by Ridenbaugh Press. Fighting the Odds: The Life of Senator Frank Church. LeRoy Ashby and Rod Gramer; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 800 pages. Softcover. $24.95. See the FIGHTING THE ODDS page.
by Stephen Hartgen The personal story of the well-known editor, publisher and state legislator's travel west from Maine to Idaho. A well-written account for anyone interested in Idaho, journalism or politics. JOURNEY WEST: A memoir of journalism and politics, by Stephen Hartgen; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. $15.95, here or at Amazon.com (softcover)
NEW EDITIONS is the story of the Northwest's 226 general-circulation newspapers and where your newspaper is headed. New Editions: The Northwest's Newspapers as They Were, Are and Will Be. Steve Bagwell and Randy Stapilus; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. 324 pages. Softcover. (e-book ahead). $16.95. See the NEW EDITIONS page.
THE OREGON POLITICAL FIELD GUIDE 2014
The Field Guide is the reference for the year on Oregon politics - the people, the districts, the votes, the issues. Compiled by a long-time Northwest political writer and a Salem Statesman-Journal political reporter. OREGON POLITICAL FIELD GUIDE 2014, by Randy Stapilus and Hannah Hoffman; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. $15.95, available right here or through Amazon.com (softcover)
THE IDAHO POLITICAL FIELD GUIDE 2014
by Randy Stapilus and Marty Trillhaase is the reference for the year on Idaho Politics - the people, the districts, the votes, the issues. Written by two of Idaho's most veteran politcal observers. IDAHO POLITICAL FIELD GUIDE 2014, by Randy Stapilus and Marty Trillhaase; Ridenbaugh Press, Carlton, Oregon. $15.95, available right here or through Amazon.com (softcover)
WITHOUT COMPROMISE is the story of the Idaho State Police, from barely-functioning motor vehicles and hardly-there roads to computer and biotechnology. Kelly Kast has spent years researching the history and interviewing scores of current and former state police, and has emerged with a detailed and engrossing story of Idaho. WITHOUT COMPROMISE page.
The Old West saw few murder trials more spectacular or misunderstood than of "Diamondfield" Jack Davis. After years of brushes with the noose, Davis was pardoned - though many continued to believe him guilty. Max Black has spent years researching the Diamondfield saga and found startling new evidence never before uncovered - including the weapon and one of the bullets involved in the crime, and important documents - and now sets out the definitive story. Here too is Black's story - how he found key elements, presumed lost forever, of a fabulous Old West story. See the DIAMONDFIELD page for more.
Chris Carlson's Medimont Reflections is a followup on his biography of former Idaho Governor Cecil Andrus. This one expands the view, bringing in Carlson's take on Idaho politics, the Northwest energy planning council, environmental issues and much more. The Idaho Statesman: "a pull-back-the-curtain account of his 40 years as a player in public life in Idaho." Available here: $15.95 plus shipping. See the Medimont Reflections page
NOW IN KINDLE
Idaho 100, about the 100 most influential people ever in Idaho, by Randy Stapilus and Martin Peterson is now available. This is the book about to become the talk of the state - who really made Idaho the way it is? NOW AN E-BOOK AVAILABLE THROUGH KINDLE for just $2.99. Or, only $15.95 plus shipping.
Water rights and water wars: They’re not just a western movie any more. The Water Gates reviews water supplies, uses and rights to use water in all 50 states.242 pages, available from Ridenbaugh Press, $15.95
At a time when Americans were only exploring what are now western states, William Craig tried to broker peace between native Nez Perces and newcomers from the East. 15 years in the making, this is one of the most dramatic stories of early Northwest history. 242 pages, available from Ridenbaugh Press, $15.95
The Snake River Basin Adjudication is one of the largest water adjudications the United States has ever seen, and it may be the most successful. Here's how it happened, from the pages of the SRBA Digest, for 16 years the independent source.