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Posts published in “Day: April 30, 2007”

The impact of place

Political races are decided in part by the nature of the candidate, in part by the nature of the campaign - but more, usually, by the nature of the place where the campaign is run. Ordinarily, and especially in recent years, places tend to vote R or D, red or blue, up and down the ballot, with ever fewer exceptions. Exceptions remain, but they are fewer now than they once were.

That's key to the recent analysis behind the political prospects of Oregon state Representative Dennis Richardson, R-Central Point.

Oregon House District 4

Richardson has unleashed several controversial comments of late, notably one which compared passage of the Oregon domestic partnership and gay anti-discrimination measures to the massacre at Virginia Tech. (He later said he "didn't intend" to make that linkage.) The discussion arose: How might Richardson be defeated in 2008?

The response from some southern Oregon observers was, won't be easy. The core of the reason being that Richardson's district is very conservative and very Republican. John Doty, who has run for the legislature in that region, noted, "The district he represents (Northwest Jackson county and a sliver of Josephine... with Central Point being the largest city (along with the towns of Rogue River and Gold Hill) is solidly red - so much so that getting an opponent to step forward at all is like pulling teeth for the county dems."

Always a point to consider.

Sali’s divergence

Bill Sali

Bill Sali

Two strains have been running in the first few months of Idaho Representative Bill Sali's tenure in Congress. On one hand, to a degree, he has positioned himself as simply another member of the conservative Republican Idaho delegation, alongside Senators Larry Craig and Mike Crapo and House member Mike Simpson. He's had regular lunches with Simpson, patching up a contentious relationship from years past, and he's had his place in statements "from the delegation."

He hasn't, yet, done much that seems likely to hurt him among the operating majority of 1st district voters, and there haven't been any wild explosions from afar (that we've seen reported).

But there is a growing body of votes marking him as different from the other three, and it's starting to become noticed. The national satiric web site Jesus' General posted a sort of open latter to Sali as one "of only seven to oppose helping torture victims, one of twenty who is willing to defund science, and one of a very few who supports enhancing our oceans with chemicals and our leisure time with cockfighting and dogfighting."

Yes, these have been documented, in part due to the watchfulness of the Mountain Goat Report blog, which has been tracking his votes. Its most recent post concerns the Torture Victims Relief Act of 2007, which passed the House 418-7, Sali being among the minority.