Writings and observations

Was 22 years ago that Dan Adamson last crossed Idaho’s public path, taking a flyer on beating a hard-to-beat politician, and came close to being elected to Congress.

Now he’s hoping history sorta repeats, with a little added burp.

The circumstances in 1984 were unusual. Idaho’s second district representative, George Hansen, had been battling legal troubles for years and, early in the year, was convicted of four felonies related to campaign finance. Hansen was a legendary votergetter and a superlative campaigner – one of the best and most intuitive Idaho has seen – but these problems seemed on the verge of swamping even him. In 1982, he had barely won re-election against a little-known Democrat named Richard Stallings, and the situation had deteriorated considerably since then. Despite all that, most of the state Republican Party structure decided to stick with him. Not all Republicans agreed; many thought a Hansen nomination would mean handing the seat over to a Democrat. But the forces in opposition were formidable enough that no prominent Republican, none holding or formerly holding elective office, would file against Hansen in the primary.

Dan Adamson, who essentially was a young unknown, did. A big guy with a conservatism not so far from Hanson’s, he bumped hard against the party’s structure and in the primary election lost to Hansen by just 1,410 votes – a close race. Had fewer than a thousand votes been reversed, he likely would have been elected to Congress in that very Republican year.

Adamson hasn’t been very visible in Idaho politics in all the years since. And now when he does return, he’s taking on a race given up just months ago by one of the state’s foremost political strategists: The Republican primary race for governor against Representative C.L. “Butch” Otter.

Running against Otter, with a collection of usual policy ideas, Adamson doesn’t have the advantage of running against someone with the kind of record Hansen had. Otter is generally popular, and the problems he has had – a DUI, for example – are years ago and apparently no big deal now.

But Adamson’s take here seems to be something else: “Butch is a nice guy … but he hasn’t had an original thought since he made the decision to marry Gay [Simplot],” he was quoted as saying at a press conference.

There are indications too that he may run against Otter as the annointed establishment choice – Idaho’s new governor, period, whether the voters like it or not.

Does it seem long-shot? Yep. But will be interested to see what sort of traction he does get.

Share on Facebook

Idaho

There’s some civic interest out there: It didn’t all melt away after the 2004 elections.

Ron WydenWe saw it today at one of the town hall meetings Oregon Senator Ron Wyden was hosting, this one in McMinnville. (Others on Saturday were at Dallas and Salem; he seems to be making the run of the state in about a week or so.) On a rainy, blustery day, about 50 people showed up – a pretty good turnout, especially considering it was a lightly promoted meeting.

More remarkable about it was its practical, workaday feel. Senators hold these kind of meetings all the time around their states, but most of they turn largely into partisan cheering sessions. That wasn’t the case here; while some identifiable Democrats were in view, most of the audience seemed to consist of civic activists and local elected or appointed officials – a range of people of scattered views (more center to left than not though, evidently) there for practical information and ideas. And Wyden specifically said at the start that while he enjoys getting into partisan talk as much as the next politician, this session was a work meeting, and partisanship – as opposed to opinions on issues – should be checked at the door.

And so it was. Anyone who came to this Democratic senator’s meeting expecting a Bush Administration torture session was disappointed. Wyden disagreed with any numbers of Bush policies, but he took on the policies, not the administration. He did some thinking on his feet. He outlined a few ideas in progress – a revised approach to medical insurance, for example – that he said was in early thought stage, and then asked the audience – what do you think? (The audience was split.)

One got the sense of problems being grappled with, rather than rhetoric thrown. Quite a few politicians could earn a lot more respect if they troubled themselves to do something so simple.

Share on Facebook

Oregon

So we have Peter DeFazio returning the bucks, while Patty Murray says she’s keeping hers. Everyone seems to have a different reaction to the tribal money.

That is a distinction worth making: Tribal money, as opposed to Jack Abramoff money.

The ever-growing scandal surrounding corrupt lobbyist Abramoff has not hit the Northwest congressional delegation especially hard, as yet. For the most part – qualifiers are needed – he seems not to have been especially close to most of this region’s congressional players, a fact for which most of them are doubtless massively relieved about now.

The members of Congress who stand in the hottest water are those who had direct dealings with Abramoff, and whose names are likely to come up repeatedly as the former power broker sings for federal attorneys. Are any northwest members of Congress in this group?

There’s no definitive answer to the positive yet. Willamette Week has taken a look at Oregon Senator Gordon Smith’s relationship with Abramoff over the years, and notes, “Smith and Abramoff aren’t strangers. The senator has held fundraisers at a D.C. restaurant that Abramoff owned until recently, and he has taken thousands of dollars in campaign donations from Abramoff and his tribal clients.” Smith happens to be a member of the Indian Affairs Committee, a panel of greater interest to those tribal clients. As WW notes, there’s no evidence of any wrongdoing on Smith’s part, but the situation is sure to be watched.

The discussion now is going much wider.

What we’re now seeing is another level of money activity – contributions to members of Congress from tribes which were among Abramoff’s roster of clients. Most members of Congress, spread deeply among both parties, have taken money from these tribes over the years, and there’s been no legal or ethical violation in doing that. But is the money now somehow “Abramoff-tainted”?

Evidently, there’s no consensus on that. So you have the spectacle of all these members of Congress coming to different conclusions about it.

This may constitute overreaction: acceptance of money from tribes by federal candidates is neither illegal nor unethical. It may be a measure of how poisonous money has become in Washington that even so, many feel it should gotten rid of.

Share on Facebook

Oregon Washington

A certain civic romance remains in the idea of the polling place: You take the effort to bestir yourself to leave your dwelling and commingle among other citizens, make your decision, and exercise your civic responsibility. In public. It has understandable appeal.

Gotta say, though, that mail-in balloting works. In the state that pioneered it statewide, Oregon, it has worked beuatifully and it is immensely popular. Convenience, which is often touted as a big plus, is actually its slightest virtue. More importantly, it allows voters an extended time to think about what’s on the ballot, to discuss and to research. (Can’t remember what’s the deal with those state treasurer candidates? Fine. Put down the ballot on the kitchen table and go Google them.) It allows for better and more relaxed and more informed voting. (Note that’s no guarantee of results, just of opportunity.) It has been shown to be secure (at least the way Oregon does it); no problems of any significance reported in a decade of practice. It may be the way of the future.

It looks to be the way of Washington’s future, since this week’s decision in Snohomish County to adopt mail-in voting county wide. That makes it number 34 of 39 counties statewide to go mail.

King County appears on the verge of joining in. First a Citizens Election Oversight Committee proposed mail-in voting, with a few special exceptions (such as at-courthouse voting, allowed in Oregon too). Then, later last month, King County Executive Ron Sims asked the chief of the elections office, Dean Logan, to develop – by the end of this month – a plan for converting to all-mail voting.

If King does go that way, it’s almost ballgame-over in Washington. The King County action could come early enough that it’s early in the state legislative session. And some legislators might at that point, with the overwhelming portion of the state’s population voting by mail, simply decide to set it up that way for all 39 counties.

Worked south of the border.

Share on Facebook

Washington

Dare we call it a flip-flop? That might be a cheap shot – and beside the point. The question at the heart of it is this: What is the reason Representative C.L. “Butch” Otter abruptly has this to say today about his till-now firm support for the bill calling for mass sellout of federal lands to pay Hurricane Katrina costs:

“I was wrong. It wasn’t the first time, and it won’t be the last.” And his sponsorship is withdrawn … “for now.”

Part of what Otter is best known for in Idaho is his philosophical stance – clarity, rigidity, thinness, relative purity, define it as you will. He long has been a small-l libertarian, a “limited government” guy, which makes sense of his stand on the Patriot Act and also his stand on the lands legislation; ask him – go ahead – if he thinks there should be more or fewer public lands in Idaho. He has had personal clashes with the feds over land use and environmental laws.

So his backing of the Katrina legislation should come as no shock; it’s of a piece.

The criticism of it is no shock, either. Most Idahoans like to grumble about the Forest Service or the BLM, but many of them also enjoy being able to use the public lands – in alternative to being fenced out. That point may be getting ever more pertinent as parts of Idaho are getting ever more crowded.

There are no newly-apparent facts on the table about all this. So when Otter says “I was wrong,” what exactly does that mean? What was it precisely that he was wrong about? The legislation specifically? (If so, what did he suddenly come to realize about its flaws?) The way he has thought about public lands, and how they should be treated? Has he had a philosophical reawakening? Did he get scared about a loss of votes and decide to pander? What changed?

That’s an important question, because without knowing the answer, we have no way of knowing whether his pullback of sponsorship – “for now” – means, “until the uproar in Idaho dies down,” or or whether it is predicated on something else. And without knowing the answer, we have a chasm in our evolving understanding of who Butch Otter is.

Politically, Otter’s mea culpa clearly was meant to put the cork in the conversation. What it should do now is uncork that conversation.

Share on Facebook

Idaho

The direction of the immigration issue is one of the puzzlements of politics 2006 – potentially important, but hard to chart a path to the front burner.

We were discussing the ’06 race for the 1st district Idaho House seat, and reflecting on that. One of the sorps of candidates in that race, Robert Vasquez (see the list of 25 influential Idahoans) has made immigration his issue cornerstone. If it flares into a truly big deal, in the minds of voters, around primary election day, then his chances expand; if not, his chances look smaller. Other candidates too, looking for a rocket toride, could seize on this one.

So the new Washington Post-ABC News poll on the subject may be of interest.

A Washington Post-ABC News poll taken in mid-December found Americans alarmed by the federal government’s failure to do more to block the flow of illegal immigration and critical of the impact of illegal immigration on the country. But it also found them receptive to the aspirations of illegal immigrants living and working in the United States. …

Immigration still ranks below the war in Iraq, terrorism, health care and the economy on the public’s list of priorities. But in many parts of the country — not just those areas near the U.S.-Mexico border — it has become an issue of pressing significance because of its economic, social and, more recently, national-security implications.

Keep watching.

Share on Facebook

Idaho

Ridenbaugh Press has been publishing lists of influential people for close to a decade now, and our latest list – three lsts of 25 influencers of change in their states – are now available here.

Be sure to note, though, how we use the term “influence” for purposes of these lists. That may help save you some puzzlement as you come across the names of people whose impact may be a little subtle.

And be sure to make your way back here, and leave all the comments you like. (Trust me – if you’re interested in the Northwest at all, you’ll have comments.)

Share on Facebook

Idaho Oregon Washington

Years ago, more than a decade and far from where I am now, I had a chat about the future of local television news with a guy in the business. He spun out a long-term scenario I’d not heard before and seldom have since:

Over time, he said, television stations will do what newspapers have done. They will conclude, for purposes of news at least, that the market cannot reasonably support a multiple of stations. So in markets where three or four stations with full news departments have been the norm, that will scale back. To three, two. Maybe eventually to one. It happened with newspapers. And as the many WB and UPN stations have shown, in this age of deregulation, nothing more than pride requires a television station to develop and air local news, or other programming, for that matter.

That speculation came to mind just now, in reading a comment on the Portland Media Insider site. The comment concerns a rumor (specifically noted as such, and if you’re interested you can read about it there) that one of the Portland televison stations will outsorce its news operaton.

The comment: “As sad as it sounds, I think the idea makes some sense. Each ratings book comes back with lower overall local news numbers than the year prior, and there aren’t any signs of that trend reversing. Eventually, four local news operations will be too many for the market’s demand… and that day is coming sooner than later.”

For whatever it’s worth, the comments on the site suggest that the “rumor” is at least being taken seriously, even without visible sourcing. Says something in itself.

Share on Facebook

Oregon

File this under the category of “highly unlikely to happen,” but it seemed worthy of regonial note.

From a San Francisco Chronicle piece on a press for renaming the national FBI center after someone other than J. Edgar Hoover, in part because of his role in surveilling Martin Luther King …

Rep. Cynthia McKinney, D-Ga., who is working for release of King’s intelligence files, has introduced legislation to name the FBI building for Frank Church, the late Idaho senator whose Senate Select Committee on Intelligence held scorching hearings on U.S. intelligence gathering and FBI abuses under Hoover.

Share on Facebook

Idaho