Press "Enter" to skip to content

Posts published in “Day: February 24, 2006”

Kulongoski’s state

Astate of the state speech delivered to something other than a legislature may be useful (whether or not required), but it functions quite differently than a normal statehouse annual speech. Inevitably, it is delivered in a governance vacuum, and - in its most pertinent sense - to a political audience.

Ted Kulongoski preparing his addressFriday, instead of reaction from legislators on the prospects for passage of a governor's program, Oregonians heard reviews from the men who would like to replace Ted Kulongoski as governor.

Everything enunciated Friday was predictable. The governor said the state of the state was good, better than it was four years ago: Even in the overtly governance parts of the speech, it evidently was delivered with a direct view to the campaign ahead. As at the beginning: "And together, we have done things, things that have improved the lives of thousands of Oregon families. So today I say to you: The heartbeat of our state is stronger – and hope burns brighter. Oregon is back!"

There was, scattered through the speech, some acknowledgement of problems (notably a weak job market - though not framed that way; he spoke instead of individuals job seekers or holders who need help). But the overall tenor was of solutions in the works.

Is Kulongoski basing his campaign on the proposition that people are upbeat about the state? Sounds that way; and if so, it could be an iffy strategy.

So too, however, could be gloomy opposition campaigns. As the other candidates for governor were canvassed in news reports, you heard a lot of "too little, too late," "why didn't he act earlier on?" and similar. Problem is that those points have no emotional resonance for most voters, who tend to respond better to upbeat optmists.

That seems to be where Kulongoski is positioning himself. His gamble is that enough Oregonians are happy enough to buy in. It seems likely to work to this extent: His opponents will have to be careful how they frame their ongoing response to it.

The spectrum

Before we get back into that nonsensical mess of figuring out who's more "liberal" or "conservative" than who, among the candidates for office, let's pause and reflect on how little those standards mean.

Today's lesson comes from the National Journal, one of the best political publications in the country, rigorously nonpartisan and usually about as fair as any you'll find. Annually, it publishes a set of rankings of members of Congress, from one end of the spectrum to the other, and the new one is just out. (It does two lists, actually, one noting most and least liberal, the other most and least conservative. In the interest of efficiency, we'll just use the "most liberal" one here - the measures are easy enough to follow from either end).

You could argue forever what criteria should determine "conservative" and "liberal" rankings, but the Journal's are considered roughly mainstream. So: Here are how the six senators from the northwest rank among the 100, in terms of liberal standing: (more…)